Musharraf’s Party Projected to Lose–Badly

Let’s see if these results last after they count the vote, but it looks like Musharraf’s party lost today’s election–resoundingly.

From unofficial results the private news channel, Aaj Television, forecast that the Pakistan Peoples Party would win 110 seats in the 272-seat National Assembly, with Mr. Sharif’s party taking 100 seats.

Mr. Musharraf’s party, the Pakistan Muslim League-Q, was crushed, holding on to just 20 to 30 seats. Early results released by the state news agency, The Associated Press of Pakistan, also showed the Pakistan Peoples Party to be leading in the number of seats won.

The Election Commission of Pakistan declared the elections free and fair and said the polling passed relatively peacefully, despite some irregularities and scattered violence. Ten people were killed and 70 injured around the country, including one candidate who was shot in Lahore on the night before the vote, Pakistani news channels reported.

Fearful of violence and deterred by confusion at polling stations, voters did not turn out in large numbers. Yet fears from opposition parties that the government would try to rig the elections did not materialize, as the early losses showed.

If it’s true that Musharraf’s government didn’t (or didn’t succeed in) rigging the elections, score one for democracy. But that doesn’t mean the US is prepared to deal with the aftermath–even if, as projected, Bhutto’s party the PPP comes out ahead.

The results opened a host of new challenges for the Bush administration, which has been criticized in Congress and by Pakistan analysts for relying too heavily on Mr. Musharraf. Even as Mr. Musharraf’s standing plummeted and the insurgency gained strength, senior Bush administration officials praised Mr. Musharraf as a valued partner in the effort against terrorism.

The NYT, at least, makes it sounds as if Musharraf is ready to pack it in.

Two politicians close to Mr. Musharraf have said in the past week that the president was well aware of the drift in the country against him and they suggested that he would not remain in office if the new government was in direct opposition to him. “He does not have the fire in the belly for another fight,” said one member of his party. He added that Mr. Musharraf was building a house for himself in Islamabad and would be ready soon to move.

What will Dick Cheney do without his faithful puppet?

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emptywheel @mattblaze VZ and foreign data: https://t.co/LsbJ435Hhe I'd love theories abt what that was. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze But only 3 "successes:" Moalin (T-Mobile), Medunjanin (VZ, I think), Tsarnaev (multiple) = cells. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze 2) They used backbone only and now can't get all they want (suspect it's a connection chain thing). @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze Several truths behind that myth. 1) VZ provides records differently than AT&T and Sprint. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat Yes. BUt if the govt has its way it'll bypass FISC altogether.
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emptywheel @HistoryCounts AA? Generation post-climate disaster?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat Would the govt approve Comcast merger in spite of monopoly problems knowing they are more willing to play ball than TW?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat There's no question AT&T is more voluntary than VZ, telecoms more voluntary than Internet. But how far does that go?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat FWIW, There ARE important differences in willingness to comply voluntarily. But we don't understand what voluntarily means
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emptywheel NSA did NOT go "cold turkey" when PRTT dragnet ended. It moved it to more permissive authorities. https://t.co/l8JOj3U9DG
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emptywheel AP laying groundwork for false claim NSA will end phone dragnet rather than move it to more permissive authorities. https://t.co/l8JOj3U9DG
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emptywheel Wonder when, amid worries abt Hillary's email & amnesia abt destroyed Cheney OVP ones, folks'll realize DOJ made it OK w/Scott Bloch? @bmaz
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