Oil Flow Rate More Than Double What BP and Government Have Said

This will not be a shock for anybody paying attention to the ever changing figures from BP on what they are capturing from the containment cap versus what is blindingly obvious from watching the spillcam live video feed, but BP and the US government have yet again been dishonest about the nature and size of the oil gusher leaking into the Gulf of Mexico water.

From Reuters:

The new estimates are considerably higher than the prior “best estimate” of 12,000-19,000 bpd issued on May 27 by the so-called Flow Rate Technical Group.

The flow of crude from the ruptured well could have been as low as 20,000 barrels (840,000 gallons/3.18 million liters) per day and as high as 40,000 bpd, with an average flow rate of 25,000-30,000 bpd, according to the findings announced by U.S. Geological Survey Director Marcia McNutt.

The thing to keep in mind here is that even these new higher figures are before the riser was cut off the Blow Out Preventer (BOP) on June 3. The estimate from BP and the government has been that the cut increased the flow 10%-20% from the baseline before the cut. All of which would indicate the current flow could easily be 48,000 barrels per day (bpd).

Not to mention, of course, there has not once been an estimate by either BP or the US government which was anything but a serious underestimate; so the safe bet is the real flow rate from the Macondo well is even higher yet, especially considering the visual evidence lends the conclusion the cutting of the riser increased the flow noticeably more than 20%. You have to wonder if the public will ever get a straight answer out of BP and the Obama Administration.

[Graphic – BP: Broken Promises. Logo design by Foye 2010 submitted as part of the Art For Change BP Logo Redesign Contest and used with permission]

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Emptywheel Twitterverse
bmaz @MasaccioFDL Despite what clients and many outside forces always want to portray, it is truly almost never a sound idea.
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bmaz @TyreJim I was trying to be kind, i.e. without going the Belgian Ale reference.
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bmaz Seriously, living in a Mark Geragos world is maddening. You do NOT help your client by "keeping media abreast" or yakking at CNN. #JustStop
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bmaz @TeekeeMon Worked for 30-40 years; far more than it should have. That is not a good counter.
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bmaz Both the clients and otherwise decent crim defense attorneys are idiots. Silence, from the client AND attorney are ALWAYS the smartest play.
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bmaz Criminal clients THINK they need to "fight back" against the "media". Idiot criminal defense attys think they MUST fight back against media.
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bmaz .@LegallyErin Criminal lawyers earn my respect by shutting the fuck up, and staying shut the fuck up. Always. That's how you do it.
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bmaz @cody_k That is not "may have", that is "did". I knew that variation from MO law when the GJ started, and I am in AZ.
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bmaz @TyreJim Flat Tyre
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bmaz @LegallyErin These pricks HAD DONE SO AWESOMELY WELL by sitting the fuck up until now. Hubris overtook the fools. This just shoot me stupid
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bmaz @McBlondeLand @CNN ANY good lawyer would have told him to do so; however, that doesn't mean he gets pension or his job back.
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June 2010
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