Did Pakistan Provide Intelligence Against Haqqani Network?

As I mentioned on Tuesday, the head of Pakistan’s spy agency is in the US for meetings with the CIA and other US intelligence interests. Those meetings started yesterday and appear to be slated to go through tomorrow. I had predicted that if the meetings, and particularly the discussions regarding the Haqqani network, don’t go well, we will see a poorly targeted drone attack in Pakistan’s tribal area within the first day or two after the meetings conclude. Developments today, however, point in the opposite direction, with it looking as though perhaps the ISI has decided to share intelligence on the Haqqani network.

There is word today out of Kabul that a pre-dawn raid has disrupted plans for a major attack by the Haqqani network. Wire services are attributing the raid to Afghan security forces, but as I have pointed out more than once, there is a definite push by the US to over-state the capabilities of Afghan forces so that the best possible spin can be kept on US plans to withdraw from Afghanistan. It seems likely that the US had a large role in the raid but is pushing the story that Afghan forces pulled it off on their own.

Here is the Reuters story on the raid:

Afghan security forces killed five insurgents and wounded one during a pre-dawn raid in Kabul on Thursday, with authorities saying they had thwarted a mass attack and captured intelligence pointing to the militant Haqqani network.

Soldiers from Afghanistan’s spy agency, the National Directorate of Security (NDS), launched the raid just after midnight, entering a single-story house compound on the fringes of Kabul which the insurgents were using as a base.

“They planned mass attacks in different parts of Kabul disguised in burqas,” the NDS said in a statement, referring to the head-to-toe covering worn by many Afghan women and sometimes used by insurgents to evade detection.

With that raid occurring in the very early hours of this morning, statements coming out of the meeting later this morning between the US commander in Afghanistan, General John Allen, and Pakistan’s army chief, Ashfaq Kayani, take on added significance. From the Express Tribune:

The US commander in Afghanistan said Thursday that “significant progress” was being made in improving cooperation with Pakistan, after his first visit since Islamabad ended a blockade on Nato supplies.

The talks between General John Allen and General Ashfaq Kayani focused on improving security along the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan, and cooperation between Afghan, Pakistani and Nato troops, said a statement released by both sides.

“I look forward to these visits and am pleased with the upward spiral in our relationship they represent,” Allen said.

“We are making significant progress toward building a partnership that is enduring, strategic, carefully defined, and that enhances the security and prosperity of the region.”

A bit later in the article we have this:

US officials have called repeatedly on Pakistan to move against the Haqqani network whose leaders are based on Pakistan’s side of the border.

Did the ISI provide information that allowed the Haqqani network team in Kabul to be found? That would certainly explain the optimism that Allen is voicing after today’s meeting.   However, obtaining intelligence on a forward operating team is nothing compared to the real goal the US wants, which is actionable intelligence on the leaders of the Haqqani network. It still seems very unlikely the ISI would hand over information on the Haqqani leaders, so perhaps their “compromise” position will be rein in the network and prevent them from carrying out attacks in Afghanistan until after the US departs. Such a position by the ISI might even achieve their goal of reducing drone strikes in the tribal regions by the US if it becomes clear that Haqqani network forays into Afghanistan have been reduced dramatically.

Tweet about this on Twitter0Share on Reddit0Share on Facebook0Google+0Email to someone

3 Responses to Did Pakistan Provide Intelligence Against Haqqani Network?

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
Emptywheel Twitterverse
emptywheel @regretblues Even AG Lynch apparently did it yesterday. Partly, I forgive that bc that's what journos know. But ... still.
8mreplyretweetfavorite
emptywheel @regretblues Partly Admin effort to prevent people fr looking too closely, partly bc few people know both politics & programs.
9mreplyretweetfavorite
emptywheel @charlie_simpson Oh. You didn't tell me you were watching Rafa. That changes everything.
10mreplyretweetfavorite
emptywheel I think @charlie_simpson is having the worst day in the entire First World. https://t.co/L0kq1oB0zf
32mreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz RT @DVNJr: The shocking human toll of #FIFA’s corruption: http://t.co/uYkpDQTjvl http://t.co/RHihVjzBve
5hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz RT @NYTBen: Jolani: "There is no such thing as the Khorasan group. This is something we only heard about from the Americans."
5hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz Live by the Beard, die by the Beard
9hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz Things people say when you are circling down the toilet into the Sepptic tank: https://t.co/lpfKLjhvXp
9hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz @nbilka @CNN Oh crikey, don't set standards I am on the far side of the sun from.
9hreplyretweetfavorite
JimWhiteGNV Still a number of emergency vehicles at site of San Diego Fish Market fire as sun sets. News says everyone is ok. http://t.co/W6Hhac27ii
9hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz @nbilka Brilliant of Ficker to have gone on @CNN to yak about the former client then. [I may need to hari kari now...]
9hreplyretweetfavorite
bmaz @nbilka Heh, "vouching for your client". Cause, you know, there are no stop signs that come attendant to that idea.
9hreplyretweetfavorite
August 2012
S M T W T F S
« Jul   Sep »
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031