Nidal Hasan’s Dots

Picture 141Mark Ambinder and I had a productive disagreement on Twitter today about what the appropriate focus of the investigation into Nidal Hasan should be. My overall point is that, at least given what we know now, our focus ought not to be on the treatment of the intercepts of Hasan’s attempts to contact radical cleric Anwar al-Awlaki so much as they should be on other signals Hasan gave of real struggles over his role as a Muslim in an army fighting two Islamic countries. It’s only within that context that the intercepts are at all meaningful. And unless we want to criminalize all discussion with extremist clerics (including people like Fred Phelps and Jerry Boykin, not to mention Jeremiah Wright), and unless we want to sanction the criminalization of any communication with people with alleged ties to Islamic extremists, then we should hesitate before we conclude that Hasan’s emails to Awlaki (at least as they’ve been reported) should have been the primary trigger for an investigation of Hasan.

Here are, best as I can piece together, the warning signs that the military and the FBI got on Hasan leading up to the killings.

Complaints about anti-Muslim Harassment (2004 to present)

As early as 2004, Hasan complained to relatives about anti-Muslim harassment and consulted a lawyer about getting out of the military. Harassment against him for being Muslim continued after he moved to Ft. Hood earlier this year.

In mid-August, another tenant, a soldier who had served in Iraq, was angered by a bumper sticker on Major Hasan’s car proclaiming “Allah is Love” and ran his key the length of Major Hasan’s car. Ms. Thompson learned of it and told Major Hasan about it that night, and though he called the police, Major Hasan did not appear to be angered by it.

He complained to others at his mosque in Killeen (so in other words, in the last several months) about the treatment of Muslims in the Army.

He was described as gentle and kindly by many neighbors, quick with a smile or a hello, yet he complained bitterly to people at his mosque about the oppression of Muslims in the Army.

Lecture on Muslims in the Army (June 2007)

In 2007, Hasan gave a lecture on Muslims in the army in which he predicted “adverse events” arising because Muslims were fighting Muslims. The presentation weighed support in the Koran for peace against armed jihad and included comments–“We love death more then you love life!”–that may either be Hasan quoting the views of extremists and/or may be his own warning. The doctors attending are reported to have appeared to be upset at Hasan’s presentation, but it is not known whether anyone reported the content of the presentation itself.

“It was really strange,” said one staff member who attended the presentation and spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the investigation of Hasan. “The senior doctors looked really upset” at the end.

[snip]

It is unclear whether anyone in attendance reported the briefing to counterintelligence or law enforcement authorities whose job it is to identify threats from within the military ranks.

Also note, it appears that this presentation, the conclusion of which reads, “Department of Defense should allow Muslims Soldiers the option of being released as ‘Conscientious objectors’ to increase troop morale and decrease adverse events,” post-dated Hasan’s attempt to get out of the service, perhaps by a few years.

Complaints from Co-Workers and Fellow Students (unknown dates, 2008)

In addition, some of Hasan’s co-workers report they complained about comments Hasan made about his Muslim faith.

A fellow Army doctor who studied with Hasan, Val Finell, told ABC News, “He would frequently say he was a Muslim first and an American second. And that came out in just about everything he did at the University.”

Finell said he and other Army doctors complained to superiors about Hasan’s statements.

“And we questioned how somebody could take an oath of office&be an officer in the military and swear allegiance to the constitution and to defend America against all enemies, foreign and domestic and have that type of conflict,” Finell told ABC News.

At least one of these complaints appears to be tied to another presentation Hasan did last year, describing US wars as wars against Muslims.

A former classmate in the master’s degree program said Major Hasan gave a PowerPoint presentation about a year ago in an environmental health seminar titled “Why the War on Terror Is a War on Islam.” He did not socialize with his classmates, other than to argue in the hallways on why the wars were wrong.

The former classmate, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of working for the military and not being authorized to speak publicly, said that some students complained to their professors about Major Hasan, but that no action had been taken.

In other words, while the content of the 2007 presentation may not have been reported to counter-intelligence authorities, some other potentially troublesome comments were reported to superiors at Walter Reed.

Email Communications with Anwar al-Awlaki (Late 2008 to 2009)

Finally, starting late last year (so presumably after the two presentations described above), Hasan started contacting radical cleric Anwar al-Awlaki via email. He ultimately sent 10 to 20 emails, and Awlaki responded twice.

Even Crazy Pete Hoekstra, who is the source of much of the reporting on the emails, admits the content of the emails (at least Awlaki’s responses) themselves were not incriminating. And FBI investigators who took a look at the emails suggest the content was consistent with Hasan’s object of study.

“I believe that the responses from Aulaqi were maybe pretty innocent,” Hoekstra continued. “But the very fact that he’s sent e-mail . . . to this guy and got responses would be quite a concern to me.”

The FBI determined that the e-mails did not warrant an investigation, according to the law enforcement official. Investigators said Hasan’s e-mails were consistent with the topic of his academic research and involved some social chatter and religious discourse.

That view seems to be shared by everyone leaking about these emails–and note this includes military investigators.

Counterterrorism and military officials said Monday night that the communications, first intercepted last December as part of an unrelated investigation, were consistent with a research project the psychiatrist was then conducting at Walter Reed Army Medical Center in Washington on post-traumatic stress disorder.

“There was no indication that Major Hasan was planning an imminent attack at all, or that he was directed to do anything,” one senior investigator said.

Now, aside from the exact content of these emails, there are a few other factors here. For example, we know that Hasan worshiped at the mosque in Virginia Awlaki served at in 2001; but we don’t know whether Hasan framed his context with him in those terms or not.

Also, it appears that those who assessed these emails looked closely enough at Hasan to know about his studies of Muslim’s in the Army. Presumably that should have gotten them close enough to those earlier complaints and presentations–if anyone tracked those issues closely enough to record.

Ultimately, though, these emails appear to be speech about religion–protected under the First Amendment–between a US person overseas and a US person in the United States; by all appearances, Awlaki was the target of the intercepts, not Hasan. Awlaki has clearly been reported to be an extremist, but he has not been charged in the US with any crime, nor were his earlier links to 9/11 hijackers determinatively shown to have assisted their plot.

A Comment Left by NidalHasan Advocating Death for a Purpose (May 20, 2009)

Although investigators have not publicly confirmed that Nidal left this comment, it draws parallels between someone throwing himself on a grenade, a suicide bomber, and Kamikaze pilots.

There was a grenade thrown amongs a group of American soldiers. One of the soldiers, feeling that it was to late for everyone to flee jumped on the grave with the intention of saving his comrades. Indeed he saved them. He inentionally took his life (suicide) for a noble cause i.e. saving the lives of his soldier. To say that this soldier committed suicide is inappropriate. Its more appropriate to say he is a brave hero that sacrificed his life for a more noble cause. Scholars have paralled this to suicide bombers whose intention, by sacrificing their lives, is to help save Muslims by killing enemy soldiers. If one suicide bomber can kill 100 enemy soldiers because they were caught off guard that would be considered a strategic victory. Their intention is not to die because of some despair. The same can be said for the Kamikazees in Japan. They died (via crashing their planes into ships) to kill the enemies for the homeland. You can call them crazy i you want but their act was not one of suicide that is despised by Islam. So the scholars main point is that “IT SEEMS AS THOUGH YOUR INTENTION IS THE MAIN ISSUE” and Allah (SWT) knows best.

One question I have is whether the contacts to Awlaki extended to this period–May 2009, and whether the investigators who dismissed the emails were aware of this comment.

Visits to Radical Islamic Websites (unknown dates)

Searches of Hasan’s computer since the killing show he has visited radical Islamic websites. But thus far, there is no evidence of email communication to any known extremists aside from Awlaki.

CBS News correspondent Bob Orr reports that an examination of the computer has revealed Hasan visited Web sites promoting radical Islamic views, but investigators have not found any e-mail communications with outside facilitators or known terrorists.

The Purchase of a Cop-Killer Gun (August 1, 2009)

Finally, there was Hasan’s purchase of a gun. By itself, it would not be suspicious. But he selected a “cop-killer” gun and purchasedseveral high-capacity 20 round magazines” at the same time, which raises questions of purpose.

This is one issue that will probably attract much closer focus, as the FBI is complaining that they can’t cross-reference this information.

As to Hasan’s weapons purchase, the investigators stressed that under existing federal law, there are tight restrictions imposed by Congress about sharing any such information even within the FBI. The FBI is required to assist states in conducting a background check of any gun purchaser to determine if they fall into any of a number of prohibited categories—including whether they have been convicted of a crime or have a history of mental illness. Hasan, who purchased the $1,100 pistol under his own name, was approved for the purchase he made at the Guns Galore gunshop in Killeen, Texas.

But after the check is conducted, and an individual is cleared to buy his gun, the FBI cannot retain the data or share any information about the gun purchase—even with other bureau officials charged with preventing terror attacks.

The FBI has chafed under these restrictions in the past but has failed to have them eased due to fierce resistance from the gun lobby and its supporters in Congress (as well as, in the past, in the Bush administration.)

Now, the jist of my disagreement with Ambinder is on whether minimization prevented counter-intelligence investigators from knowing of the contact with Awlaki. We may learn, over the course of this investigation, what they do with US person data collected in the course of their FISA programs. There is no reason to believe they got rid of these intercepts. And we know that they got fairly individualized attention.

But the big point I was trying to make is that if there are data-sharing issues, they’re the reverse, the fact that any counter-intelligence information on Hasan arising from his comments and presentations in DC do not have appeared to heightened the concern about the emails to Awlaki. The only things we knew that took place after the intercepts are the comment and the gun purchase–the latter of which is not known to have been tracked in any case; we not only don’t know if counter-terrorist or counter-intelligence investigators knew of the surfing of extremist websites, but we don’t know when it took place.

Ultimately, of the dots we currently know of, the ones that might have been connected were some details of his 2007 presentation, the comment defending suicide missions, and the purchase of the gun. Now perhaps Crazy Pete Hoekstra knows of something more, or perhaps he would advocate that everyone with known contacts with one extremist should have their IP address permanently tracked (in which case I assume he’s willing to undergo such scrutiny, given his ties to Manucher Ghorbanifar). But otherwise the data that didn’t get shared appears to be from the brick and mortar world, not the telecom world.

Update: At a very concrete level, this story supports Ambinder’s point–that info sharing rules meant the Army didn’t get info on Hasan’s contacts with Awlaki. (h/t MD)

A person familiar with the matter said a Pentagon worker on a terrorism task force overseen by the Federal Bureau of Investigation was told about the intercepted emails several months ago. But members of terror task forces aren’t allowed to share such information with their agencies, unless they get permission from the FBI, which leads the task forces.

In this case, the Pentagon worker, an employee from the Defense Criminal Investigative Service, helped make the assessment that Maj. Hasan wasn’t a threat, and the FBI’s “procedures for sharing the information were never used,” said the person familiar with the matter.

But that’s not because FBI refused permission. It’s because the people who had access to both his record and the intercepts didn’t ask for it. And there’s still the question why non-suspicious intercepts would alarm the Army when a whole lot of more suspicious stuff hadn’t.

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88 replies
  1. bmaz says:

    The problem is, sometimes dots are just that – dots unconnected, and reasonably so. I am not sure that if everything had been known and added together that Hasan merited that much more attention than he was apparently given. What would have been done? Arrested? For what? A surveillance team placed on him 24/7? Unlikely. Discharge from the service? Based on what? With the exception of the gun purchase, which was legal, all his activity was at least marginally consistent with his position, duties and religious beliefs.

    • Leen says:

      “Discharge from the service? Based on what? ” Combined with harassment by others in the military. Seems logical

      His Religious and moral stance/beliefs. A real conflict going on there

      I thought there was supposed to be more effort by the different intelligence, military, Homeland Security agencies (and I am sure there is) spending far more time connecting those dots……

  2. klynn says:

    And we have no idea what kind of requests, in regards to prep for deployment, were made of him; especially, with his language skills.

    (in which case I assume he’s willing to undergo such scrutiny, given his ties to Manucher Ghorbanifar)

    We can only hope.

  3. MadDog says:

    A comment I had intended to make on your “Mueller ALREADY Reviewing Shortcomings of Hasan Investigation” post, but was getting too sleepy *g*, may be relevant here.

    One of the reasons that FBI Director Mueller may feel at ease in conducting a review of the FBI’s past Hasan investigation now is that the information that the FBI had (those intercepted emails) was in fact as innocuous as has been reported by the MSM, and Mueller has already seen them himself.

    No hint of terrorism could be found in these intercepts, so Mueller is confident that the FBI did not drop the ball based on this “evidence” alone. (Note that in the case of the Anthrax investigation, Mueller has no such confidence that the FBI didn’t fook up royally, hence no “need” to investigate now…or anytime soon in his lifetime.)

    The case against both the Army CID component of the that “Joint” investigation, as well as the Army Medical Corp is another matter altogether.

    These folks had, or should’ve had, tons of Army-only information that should’ve rung alarm bells up the chain of command. At the very least, this information should’ve mandated Hasan’s superiors to question his fitness as not only a US Army officer, but as a medical doctor.

    I agree with you that the minimization issues/violations of law are another matter, and that the real crux of the Army’s problems regarding Hasan do not have to do with the intercepts, but instead have to do with the Army’s failure to do anything about this obviously troubled individual they worked with and supervised.

  4. lawordisorder says:

    I think you just nailed the paradigme of intel biznes, and that moves it right back up to a “politico” paradigme what do we whant to sacrifice in terms of money, manpower and civil liberties on that alter and that again makes it a “founding father” paradigme……..

  5. MadDog says:

    Minor typo?

    …nor were his earlier l to 9/11 hijackers determinatively shown to have assisted their plot…

    I’m guessing that “l” was meant to be “links”.

  6. klynn says:

    Here’s some interesting updated information. Love the following:

    Two officials speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the case on the record said the Washington-based joint terrorism task force overseen by the FBI was notified of communications between Hasan and a radical imam overseas, and the information was turned over to a Defense Criminal Investigative Service employee assigned to the task force.

    That worker wrote up an assessment of Hasan after reviewing the Army major’s personnel file and the communications. The assessment concluded Hasan did not merit further investigation, in large part because his communications with the imam were centered around a research paper he was writing at the time, and the investigator had concluded Hasan was in fact working on such a paper, the officials said.

    (my bold)

      • MadDog says:

        Related to klynn’s quote, there’s this fingerpointing from the WSJ:

        Army Wasn’t Told of Hasan’s Emails

        …A person familiar with the matter said a Pentagon worker on a terrorism task force overseen by the Federal Bureau of Investigation was told about the intercepted emails several months ago. But members of terror task forces aren’t allowed to share such information with their agencies, unless they get permission from the FBI, which leads the task forces.

        In this case, the Pentagon worker, an employee from the Defense Criminal Investigative Service, helped make the assessment that Maj. Hasan wasn’t a threat, and the FBI’s “procedures for sharing the information were never used,” said the person familiar with the matter…

        Maybe FBI Director Mueller is now having second thoughts about reviewing the FBI’s handling of the Hassan investigation. *g*

        • emptywheel says:

          That would certainly support Ambinder’s stance.

          But isn’t the problem still that the Army didn’t share the issues about Hasan, not vice versa?

          The big warning signs are still on the Army side.

          • MadDog says:

            I’m totally with you on this!

            The meme regarding the intercepted emails, and the follow-on investigation by the Joint FBI/Army CID task force, is a red-herring by Crazy Pete and Co. to deliberately manufacture a “Muslims are hiding in under my bed!” terrorism connection for partisan political purposes.

            The real place to focus is again on what Hasan’s superiors in the Army Medical Corp did or didn’t do in regard to dealing with this troubled officer and doctor.

            • emptywheel says:

              Well, and consider the alternative that Hoekstra is implicitly advocating: eliminating any data protection on information collected on Americans–or certain classes of Americans (and Crazy Pete really would be among them).

            • MadDog says:

              To buttress my argument that Crazy Pete & Co. are driving this “Muslims are hiding in under my bed!” terrorism connection story, I would note this from a WaPo article earlier today:

              Sparring within House intelligence panel over Fort Hood grows sharper

              The investigation into last week’s deadly shooting at Fort Hood has driven a sharp split between Democrats and Republicans on the House intelligence committee, with each side drawing vastly different conclusions from the same information.

              Rep. Pete Hoekstra (Mich.), the ranking Republican on the Intelligence panel, sees a suspect in the case, Maj. Nidal M. Hasan, with ties to Muslim extremists that should have been flagged, and the possibility of a cover-up by the Obama administration. And Democrats see a Republican — and gubernatorial candidate — playing politics and grabbing headlines…

              …Sens. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) and Kit Bond (R-Mo.) — the chair and ranking member, respectively, of the Senate intelligence committee — both declined to criticize the administration for its performance so far in the investigation.

              Feinstein said Monday Blair had assured her she would “be getting a fuller briefing soon,” and Bond said, “First, it’s important to let the investigators do their jobs. Then we will find out the who, what, and when, if anything, our intelligence community knew and whether such information was shared with the appropriate action agencies…”

              Even the notably partisan Kit Bond won’t go where Crazy Pete is going.

              • emptywheel says:

                Not the first time the Senators wouldn’t go where Crazy Pete goes: the same happened on the CIA torture briefing controversy (also manufactured by Crazy Pete).

  7. Slothrop says:

    Yeah, okay, but as a confirmed conspiracy theorist over at least 3 decades now, I don’t have a good feeling about this story. Something is not quite right. There’s a piece or two of this story missing — can’t put my finger on it, but it’s there. I can feel it.

    • Hmmm says:

      I agree, we do not yet have a convincing narrative before us, but then again as many have pointed out, it’s early days yet.

      At the risk of trying folks’ patience — and I apologize in advance for not having the link — there is one additional factor that bears consideration. A post somewhere in the last few days said that in the pre-deployment period at Ft. Hood routine inoculations are administered, some of which produce psychoactive effects in some patients including but not limited to mood changes and sudden irrational behavior. So there may be some small chance that inoculation served as an otherwise unpredictable trigger to an apparently already aggravated situation. In fact IIRC the shooting happened at the facility where, among other functions, inoculations are administered.

      Also on the Army side BTW. The same Army that’s having incredible difficulties producing enough bodies to deploy and is not necessarily toeing all the lines it’s supposed to be toeing, personnel-condition-wise.

      And that suicide rate at Ft. Hood needs to be looked into as well.

      • Hmmm says:

        Sorry all for that, I’m gonna retract since I can no longer find any particularly solid sourcing for that, just scuttlebutt aplenty. But just to cross the beams, the vaccine in question is… anthrax. (Those interested can Google for “hasan ft hood anthrax vaccinate”.)

        If there is anything real there then we’ll be hearing about it sooner or later; meantime, sorry for muddying the waters.

  8. MadDog says:

    And I’m guessing Brian Ross of ABC News woke up today to find Crazy Pete Hoekstra in his bed:

    Senior Official: More Hasan Ties to People Under Investigation by FBI

    A senior government official tells ABC News that investigators have found that alleged Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan had “more unexplained connections to people being tracked by the FBI” than just radical cleric Anwar al Awlaki. The official declined to name the individuals but Congressional (MD’s note: ABC New’s link here is bogus because it goes to a story on AIG) sources said their names and countries of origin were likely to emerge soon…

  9. Slothrop says:

    Let’s say the Army KNEW about Hasan’s issues. But, for whatever reason, they found it more valuable to watch what he did and see where it led rather than intervene. So, that would mean the Army has information but such information, if widely known, would compromise some existing operation?

    I don’t know. Something.

  10. Slothrop says:

    That’s the other thing. The appearance of a disinformation artist like Crazy Pete on this case is telling. I would guess that he has some highly distorted information in which might exist a small truth or two, but it might be tough to unpack right away.

    • MadDog says:

      I’m sure we can count on Crazy Pete to continue his efforts in the days to come.

      Shorter Crazy Pete: “Where there isn’t smoke, start a fire!”

  11. TarheelDem says:

    There are a number of issues with the narrative that is being forced onto the events. As soon as the media learned he was a Muslim, the narrative that it was a terrorist act was chiseled into stone and subsequent information has been used to support that narrative.

    But consider some of what was reported that is outside this fram. He was a psychiatrist who specialized in PTSD patients. He was promoted. He was under orders to be deployed (unwillingly) to either Iraq or Afghanistan. Now ask yourself what a psychiatrist specializing in PTSD does day after day. Is it not to surface the traumatic events so that the soldier can begin to deal with them and process them? Doesn’t that mean that he might have heard horrible stories about what Muslims in those countries endured and what they did in retaliation?

    Now look at what you present.

    In 2004, a soldier who had served in Iraq keyed Hasan’s car just because there was a bumper sticker that said “Allah is love”. Consider if this happened to a white Alabaman with a bumper sticker that said “God is love”. It is no secret that there is a significant minority of soldiers who have no love or respect for Muslims, who call Muslims “ragheads”, even Muslims who are serving with them in the military. It is no secret that the religious Right has gone out of its way to demonize all Muslims for the acts of 19 highjackers who flew planes in the the World Trade Center Towers on 9/11. Talk about unit cohesiveness issues!

    Look at the notes for the slide for the lecture he gave. Less than two pages of bullet points and no content. And only the anonymous sourcing that the “senior doctors looked upset” without specifying exactly at what point in the lecture that they looked upset. And there is no indication of where the “Comments” slide came in the lecture. Nor how it fit in with the purported topic of Muslims in the military. Only in hindsight of the killings at Fort Hood and, by the way, the media narrative of terrorism does the question of whether he was reported to counterintelligence or law enforcement authorities become salient to these sources. Why had they not wondered that before now if it was so disturbing? And reported it themselves?

    By 2007, he according to the report advocates release of Muslims from the military as conscientious objectors to “increase troop morale and decrease adverse events”. Is not this a statement that is talking about unit cohesion? Is not Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell predicated on expelling gays to “increase troop morale and decrease adverse events”? And this was three years after he contacted a lawyer about getting out of the service. And that was in 2004.

    Does 2004 ring a bell? In April 2004, the report of the torture of prisoners at Abu Graib prison was first made public. Consider a Muslim member of the military and their response to that news.

    He says he’s a Muslim first and an American second. This is a sign of a terrorist? Then every soldier who witnesses that he is a born-again Christian first and an American second needs also to be held in suspicion–as well as the officers and chaplains that promote this attitude.

    In an environmental health seminar in 2008, Hasan gave a lecture entitled “Why the War on Terror is a War on Islam”. Seven years after the invasion of Afghanistan, five years after the invasion of Iraq, four years after Abu Graib, less than a year after the Surge, and after knowledge of the torturing of innocent persons at Guantanamo had been reported in the media, yes in euphemisms but reported. Here is the point at which someone should have identified Hasan for a little PTSD counseling himself. But is that statement so outrageous given the fact that it mirrors what folks like Pat Robertson have been saying ever since 9/11? Is that truly a suspicious action? And exactly how did Hasan tie that title into the course–environmental health? What kind of environmental health would a psychiatrist be interested in?

    Although investigators have not publicly confirmed that Nidal left this comment, it draws parallels between someone throwing himself on a grenade, a suicide bomber, and Kamikaze pilots. So who is reporting it? Isn’t that a critical piece of evidence in evaluating whether the Army “missed some warning signs”? Or is it tossed into the mix because someone found it and assumed it must be Hasan? The copyright is Salafi Manhaj, the teachings of a movement which claims Salafis view the first three generations of Muslims, who are Muhammad’s companions, and the two succeeding generations after them, the Tabi‘in and the Taba‘ at-Tabi‘in, as examples of how Islam should be practiced. This principle is derived from the following the hadith attributed to Muhammad: “The people of my generation are the best, then those who come after them, and then those who come after them.” The article posted is an argument against suicide bombing as a form of martyrdom.

    But here we come to the interesting tie-in. Again from Wikipedia (yeah, yeah):

    Many Salafis today point instead to Muhammad ibn Abd-al-Wahhab as the first figure in the modern era to push for a return to the religious practices of the salaf as-salih or “righteous predecessors”. His evangelizing in 18th century Saudi Arabia was a call to return to what were the practices of the early generations of Muslims.

    His works, especially Kitab at-Tawhid, are still widely read by Salafis around the world today, and the majority of Salafi scholars still reference his works frequently. After his death, his views flourished under the generous financing of the House of Saud and initiated the current worldwide Salafi movement.

    In other words, the Salafi teachings are associated these days with Wahhabism, the Saudi fundamentalism that lies at the basis of many extreme Islamic groups. And the debate in modern Salafism is between the jihadis and those who seek less political forms of evangelism. Sorta like the division between the dominionist Christians and the evangelicals.

    An essay saying that Salafism does not condone suicide bombing and what other evidence points to Hasan as the author? And what are the scrambled or redacted footnotes about?

    And now to Anwar al-Awlaki. How exactly do we know he is a “radical”? Is he a Wahhabist? Has he been monitored? And this gets into the whole “how wide and effective is the fishing expedition” issue. How does one sort out false positives from false negatives? Ask and it shall be delivered. Here is a list of his lectures:

    Salaat Time – Imam Anwar Al-Awlaki. Check the titles:
    Giving and Investing towards Hereafter
    The Story of the Bull
    Quran the Book of Tolerance
    Goodly Word Goodly Tree
    War against Islam
    Brutality towards Muslims
    Naseeha
    Revivers Of The Message
    Studying Seerah is Ibadah
    Hijra
    Understanding The Quran
    Tolerance – A Hallmark Of Muslim Character

    The Story of Ibn Al-Akwa / Mashari Al-Ashwaq / Constants on the Path Academic Studies on the Fiqh of Jihad
    Mashari Al-Ashwaq
    Constants on the Path
    44 Ways of Supporting Jihad

    So al-Awlaki is a jihadi Salafi. There is your first suspicious contact and it is strangely all in email and with as Crazy Pete puts it “innocuous responses”. And again, this is five years after Hasan requested to leave the military. And maybe a year or so before the Fort Hood attacks. Do you have enough to take to a FISA court yet?

    Finally, August 1, 2009, the purchase of a cop-killer gun and high-capacity magazines. This would be a sure clue except that it was lost in a lot of other probably similar gun purchases that aren’t by design accurately tracked and, if Wayne LaPierre has his way, are likely to never be. Do we have probable cause for a arrest by local authorities under local law?

    Am I the only one who smells a rush to judgment here about the motives and connections that Hasan had? I’ll wait until we actually have some evidence to make my judgment on how to prevent incidents like this one. But the immediate jumping to the terrorist narrative, like the immediate jumping to the suicide narrative in the case in Kentucky, makes me a little nervous that we will ever get the facts of this case.

  12. earlofhuntingdon says:

    The doctors were upset? They were army officers all, imbued with the religion of the chain of command. Hasan’s remarks, at a minimum, spoke of harmful consequences flowing from wars explicitly aimed at Muslims and Muslim countries – a matter of high policy beyond the reach of the Joint Chiefs. He spoke of consequences at the individual and unit level, operational issues outside his purview as a psychiatrist. Narrowly defined, that was to fix the broken and send them back into the field as soon as possible. Little wonder that some superior officers would have been unhappy at his remarks. They weren’t happy with Gen. Tuguba’s or Shinseki’s either.

    The posted remarks alone do not indicate an individual antipathy to his job, his colleagues or the army, but an assessment of the work he and his colleagues were likely to face. It may have been more; it certainly become more. Something drove this psychiatrist to kill, the opposite outcome of his training and expertise. But it needn’t be only one cause. David Brooks’ claims aside, it is often many.

  13. earlofhuntingdon says:

    “A fellow Army doctor who studied with Hasan, Val Finell, told ABC News, “He would frequently say he was a Muslim first and an American second. And that came out in just about everything he did at the University.”

    A behavior not limited to Dr. Hasan. A fictional example from Aaron Sorkin’s, A Few Good Men. Marine Lance Corporal Harold Dawson explains to his lawyer, Lt. (JG) Sam Weinberg, his understanding of the Marine Corps Code of Honor, listed by priority of concern:

    “Unit, Corps, God, Country.”

  14. earlofhuntingdon says:

    A former classmate in the master’s degree program said Major Hasan gave a PowerPoint presentation about a year ago in an environmental health seminar titled “Why the War on Terror Is a War on Islam.”

    Air Force Lt. General Boykin agrees and has publicly said so without consequence. Ask that question anywhere in Colorado Springs, CO, and probably half the answers would be the same. President Bush more than once used the term “crusade” to describe his wars. It is a characterization widely used, with many saner voices wishing it weren’t.

  15. earlofhuntingdon says:

    But that’s not because FBI refused permission. It’s because the people who had access to both his record and the intercepts didn’t ask for it. And there’s still the question why non-suspicious intercepts would alarm the Army when a whole lot of more suspicious stuff would have.

    I hope that Mr. Mueller is wondering about that disconnect, along with his counterparts in the services’ criminal investigation departments and in Homeland Security.

    More than one thing is missing from this equation. If policies are to be changed in light of this incident, if we are to loose more civil rights owing to the administration’s taking a Cheneyish, shotgun blast approach to enhancing our security, we ought to know what those missing pieces are and have a voice in focusing those changes in a way that does not needlessly further compromise what we claim to be protecting.

  16. emptywheel says:

    Okay, here’s an example of why this is all bullshit:

    Other facts that have emerged since did not enter into the analysis, including Hasan’s purchase of a weapon Aug. 1, his alleged Web site posting six months ago about suicide bombings, or unease among some of his Walter Reed colleagues after a presentation he gave in 2007 about Muslim soldiers with “religious conflicts.”

    “Why didn’t they interview him and run this to ground?” asked one former U.S. counterterrorism official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the investigation. The official asked the Obama administration this week whether the FBI’s operations guidelines prevented agents from doing more before the shootings. If the bureau’s hands were tied, “where was the Department of Defense?” the official said.

    First, if the 2007 presentation “did not enter the analysis,” then it’s not the fault of the JTTF. It’s the fault of the Army.

    But then look at the official’s agenda: did the FBI’s guidelines prevent it from doing more? You mean, like teaching DOD what to watch out for? And if they interviewed Hasan in early 2009, what would that have done?

    • earlofhuntingdon says:

      Could the meme be that the FBI needs more unchecked powers, rather than that its own computers and e-mail systems should first be able to talk to each other, that they should then be able to talk with those of other armed federal agencies, and that they be operated on both ends by staff trained to understand the language and culture of what they read?

  17. Mary says:

    And there’s still the question why non-suspicious intercepts would alarm the Army when a whole lot of more suspicious stuff would have.

    That’s really the issue, isn’t it? If someone like Hoekstra hadn’t leaked info about there being intercepts – which even the leaker was saying were innocent – then the focus would be on all the rest. And all the rest is pretty shocking in and of itself. A Muslim officer trying to get out of the military since 2004, with repeated bouts of fighting over the wars, a history of multiple presentations emphasizing the difficulties for US Muslims in the military being asked to kill other Muslims, fighting deployment, etc. – really if the military was ignoring all that, why would contacts that everyone agrees had innocent content, for a research paper that sounds like it isn’t going anywhere different than his prior presentations, have changed anything
    @11 – I keep getting the feeling of parts not fitting and more out there as well, too many odd pieces left on the table. THD does a great job with lots of the squeaks @ 21, but I do have to say, even though this took place after the shooting, my take on whether or not awlaki is “radical” pretty much gets solidified by knowing that he issued statements praising the murders.

      • Mary says:

        And there’s still the question why non-suspicious intercepts would alarm the Army when a whole lot of more suspicious stuff would have

        You could go so many ways with it. Maybe

        And there’s still the question of, why would non-suspicious intercepts alarm the Army when a lot of more suspicious stuff did not?

        Or maybe,
        Why would the DoD have been able to get the speck out of the F B Eye when it didn’t notice the plank in it’s own eye first? *g*

    • Scarecrow says:

      Occam’s Razor — This still looks fairly simple. His world view is that we’re at war with Islam; and there are plenty of American officials and pundits who both agree with and applaud that policy — even David Brooks yesterday, who said it’s the core principle of American foreign policy.

      Religious loyalty trumps patriotism — and how is that different from half this delusional species? And he’s fully aware of the Christian anti-Muslim fanaticism that increasingly pervades US forces. He’s asked to go participate in a war to kill Muslims, and he knows the brutality and madness of how it’s done, because it’s his job to learn that from others. That’s enough dots. The stage is set, just waiting for the right moment to tip the scales into insanity.

      If there are missing pieces that might have triggered the event at this time — beyond imminent posting to Afghan/Iraq — then perhaps its watching the Administration emasculate Abbas over the UN/Gaza torture report and settlements — and his heritage is Palestinian, isn’t it? That’s the end of “hope,” so in this mindset, there are no other options.

      The wonder is that there haven’t been more of these incidents.

      Murder and war are abhorent — no justification — but that doesn’t seem to stop anything. There but for the grace of Allah go . . . just about anyone with intensely felt beliefs and feelings of massive injustice without hope. Occam’s Razor.

  18. Mary says:

    But then look at the official’s agenda: did the FBI’s guidelines prevent it from doing more?

    Yeah – that pretty much ties it with ribbons and bows.

  19. klynn says:

    There is something Bruce Ivins-esque about these leaks. The difference, the guilty party is still alive to give us answers.

  20. WilliamOckham says:

    I’m really disturbed by the various narratives that folks are putting on this event. Except for one particular thing, nothing, and I mean absolutely nothing, that Hasan did should have raised suspicions that he would do something like this. The one thing he did that was suspicious, buying a $1,000 handgun designed to kill as many human beings as possible in a short time, was the one thing that our society has decided CAN’T be used as the basis for investigating someone.

    • WarOnWarOff says:

      Yep, exactly, and lying to the American people to go to war and kill hundreds of thousands of others, apparently carries no consequences whatsoever.

    • Scarecrow says:

      There are two separate questions: the first is whether a set of events should have triggered alarms at the time, because they point to the eventual outcome. The second is whether, after the fact, you can now connect those events in a set of explanatory logic. It think it’s possible to answer yes to the second and still agree with you that the events at the time didn’t logically compel a conclusion that the outcome would happen.

      • bmaz says:

        Yeah, that is perhaps a better statement of what I was trying to say @1 above. You can look backwards now and see the path between the “dots” retrospectively, but I am not really seeing that path were I looking at it prospectively before the shooting. It was cause for someone to take a look at it. Someone apparently did; and they drew the same conclusion that any reasonable person would have at that point, at least from the information we have, and that is that Hasan’s activity was explainable by who he was and what he was vocationally doing. Heck, I’m not even sure how much the gun purchase would have added were it factored in with all the rest. Say the evaluator(s) were made aware of the gun purchase, what do they do? Watch him? Talk to him? Does anything they could have, or would have, done change the outcome? What is the most that could have or should have happened if some appropriate authority had been in possession of the maximum amount of information on Hasan – all the dots – what then?

      • WilliamOckham says:

        I think that’s very problematic. I’m not at all convinced that human behavior is reducible to the sort of easy narratives that inevitably get spun up in a case like this. The central problem is the facts that come about someone like Hasan are only the ones that fit somebody’s narrative. I can guarantee you that somewhere in the Middle East there’s someone who is spinning a narrative about the corrupting influence of American culture on Muslim immigrants. That narrative will have just as many facts to support it as the Muslim terrorist narrative. The only way I could choose between them is based on my own biases. In truth, I won’t even believe what Hasan himself says about his motives. I’ve seen too many people come up with ex post facto rationalizations for much less heinous activity to think that Hasan will be a reliable narrator of his own actions.

        We will never know why. That’s really hard to accept, but it’s the truth.

        • bmaz says:

          Well, yes; but there are many possible “whys”. The better question is does a reasonable evaluator look at the combined “dots” prior to the shooting and see sufficient indicia of potential aberrant/violent conduct to take affirmative action and, if so, what is the action?

  21. klynn says:

    The one thing he did that was suspicious, buying a $1,000 handgun designed to kill as many human beings as possible in a short time, was the one thing that our society has decided CAN’T be used as the basis for investigating someone.

    I agree. Yet, if he had bought some specific beauty items, he would have been arrested.

  22. cregan says:

    I agree that a lot of fingerpointing, shaping to fit your pet theory, etc. is occuring for the Hasan case. However, here is one very basic fact.

    The guy actually was a threat and actually did do something. So, someone, somewhere, dropped the ball. Who, why and how we don’t know yet. But, in my opinion, all angles need to be pursued and none dropped out.

    The full story is a long way from being out there.

    • WilliamOckham says:

      Actually, it does not logically follow to say that the fact that Hasan did something is proof that someone dropped the ball. Do you really believe that all crime is preventable? Did somebody drop the ball in the Luby’s massacre in Killeen in 1991?

  23. mulcher says:

    I’ve emailed Anwar Aulaqi too. I emailed him to ask him about his relationship with Ali Al-Timimi, who shared a suite with the leading anthrax scientist and former deputy USAMRIID Commander, both Battelle consultants who had co-invented in March 2001 a process by which anthrax was concentrated using silica in the culture medium.

    Ali Al-Timimi’s defense counsel, a legal analyst for MSNBC and regular guest on Rachel Maddow’s show, explained that Ali is an “anthrax weapons suspect.”

    There has been a failure to “connect the dots” in Amerithrax.

    Ali’s defense counsel explains:

    “The conversation with [Bin Laden’s sheik] Al-Hawali on September 19, 2001 was central to the indictment and raised at trial. ***
    [911 imam] Anwar Al-Aulaqi goes directly to Dr. Al-Timimi’s state of mind and his role in the alleged conspiracy.”

    In a filing unsealed in Spring of 2008 (see PACER), Dr. Ali Al-Timimi’s lawyer, Professor Jonathan Turley, explained that his client “was considered an anthrax weapons suspect.” Al-Timimi was a computational biologist who came to have an office 15 feet from the leading anthrax scientist and the former deputy commander of USAMRIID. A motion filed in early August 2008 seeking to unseal additional information in federal district court was denied. The ongoing proceedings are highly classified.

    Dr. Al-Timimi’s counsel summarizes:

    “we know Dr. Al-Timimi:
    * was interviewed in 1994 by the FBI and Secret Service regarding his ties to the perpetrators of
    the first World Trade Center bombing;
    * was referenced in the August 6, 2001 Presidential Daily Briefing (“Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US”) as one of seventy individuals regarding whom the FBI is conducting full field investigations on a national basis;
    * was described to his brother by the FBI within days of the 9-11 attacks as an immediate suspect in the Al Qaeda conspiracy;
    * was contacted by the FBI only nine days after 9-11 and asked about the attacks and its perpetrators;
    * was considered an anthrax weapons suspect;
    [redacted]
    * was described during his trial by FBI agent John Wyman as having “extensive ties” with the “broader al-Qaeda network”;
    * was described in the indictment and superseding indictment as being associated with terrorists seeking harm to the United States;
    * was a participant in dozens of international overseas calls to individuals known to have been under suspicion of Al-Qaeda ties like Al-Hawali; and
    * was associated with the long investigation of the Virginia Jihad Group.
    ***
    The conversation with [Bin Laden’s sheik] Al-Hawali on September 19, 2001 was central to the indictment and raised at trial. ***
    [911 imam] Anwar Al-Aulaqi goes directly to Dr. Al-Timimi’s state of mind and his role in the alleged conspiracy. The 9-11 Report indicates that Special Agent Ammerman interviewed Al-Aulaqi just before or shortly after his October 2002 visit to Dr. Al-Timimi’s home to discuss the
    attacks and his efforts to reach out to the U.S. government.
    [IANA head] Bassem Khafagi was questioned about Dr. Al-Timimi before 9-11 in Jordan, purportedly at the behest of American intelligence. [redacted ] He was specifically asked about Dr. Al-Timimi’s connection to Bin Laden prior to Dr. Al-Timimi’s arrest. He was later interviewed by the FBI about Dr. Al-Timimi. Clearly, such early investigations go directly to the allegations of Dr. Al-Timimi’s connections to terrorists and Bin Laden [redacted]”
    The letter attached as an exhibit notes that in March 2002 Al-Timimi spoke with Al-Hawali about assisting Moussaoui in his defense. Al-Hawali was Bin Laden’s sheik who was the subject of OBL’s “Declaration of War.” Moussaoui was the operative sent by Bin Laden to be part of a “second wave” who had been inquiring about crop dusters. The filing and the letter exhibit each copy defense co-counsel, the daughter of the lead prosecutor in Amerithrax. That prosecutor pled the Fifth Amendment concerning all the leaks hyping a “POI” of the other Amerithrax squad, Dr. Steve Hatfill. His daughter withdrew as Al-Timimi’s pro bono counsel on February 27, 2009.

    ‘Dr. Ali Al-Timimi’s Support Committee’ in an email to supporters dated April 5, 2005 explained: “This is a summary of the court proceedings that took place yesterday April 4th 2005. We will send a summary everyday inshallah. *** “In his opening statement, Defense attorney Edward B. MacMahon Jr. said that Al-Timimi was born and raised in Washington DC. He has a degree in Biology and he is also a computer scientist, and a mathematician. He worked for Andrew Card, who’s now the White House chief of staff, at the Transportation Department in the early 1990s.”

  24. Splicer says:

    My experience is that people either don’t want to get involved or worry they are not going to look politically correct enough if they do “say something”. I think too many people give the benefit of the doubt to all sorts of folks when they should be pointing things out. If a coworker is a nutcase then I’d rather err on the side of caution than worry about his feelings.

  25. Beese says:

    The elephant in the room that no one will acknowledge is that we are waging war on Islam – or at least such a good approximation of it that no Muslim could be faulted for seeing it that way. And in that context, the Fort Hood victims were all perfectly legitimate military targets. Unlike the thousands of Afghan and Pakistani civilians we shrug off as “collateral damage” as their bodies are mutilated by our remote-control warriors.

    And by the way, did anyone else notice how Obama’s remarks at the funeral went “when the fighting is over and our country has endured”? As opposed to, say, “when the fighting is over and our country has prevailed”? Conditioning expectations, I’d say.

    • solerso68 says:

      But we arent waging war on Islam, even if we are waging war on Muslims. Its a mistake to make that switch. There is no way to rationalize what that asshat did. He was not a foriegn soldier or Taliban geurilla he was a major in the US army AND a doctor, and in our secular democracy that is his primary identity, (in addition to mass murderer) not which imaginary sky daddy he worships .

    • fatster says:

      O’Reilly: ‘We Can’t Kill All The Muslims’ — So Let’s ‘Win As Many Hearts And Minds Of Good Moderate Muslims As We Can’

      Link.

  26. Loo Hoo. says:

    Also note, it appears that this presentation, the conclusion of which reads, “Department of Defense should allow Muslims Soldiers the option of being released as ‘Conscientious objectors’ to increase troop morale and decrease adverse events,” post-dated Hasan’s attempt to get out of the service, perhaps by a few years.

    Did you mean pre-dated?

    • emptywheel says:

      No, I mean post-dated. That is, Hasan seems to have asked to get out in the 2004-5 range (as someone points out upthread, possibly after Abu Ghraib). And then several years later he offers that as a generalized theory on how to avoid problems in the military.

      I’m not saying this was a warning of criminality (going to WO’s point). I’m saying it was a warning sign that he was troubled.

  27. solerso68 says:

    This is a small detail and not relevant to larger discussion but, Jeremiah wright is NOT an “extremist cleric”. He has NEVER advocated or praised violence or revolution. He yells and gets worked up on the pulpit but that is a stylistic thing and dosent make him a political “extremist” (unless james brown was political extremist), and his comments about race and history in the U.S. are quite true and defendable positions, no matter how uncomfortable and resentful they make white folks feel.I see where your coming from with that but its kind of hypocritical to do that now.

    • emptywheel says:

      Neither had Awlaki, as far as I know, in 2001 when he preached at Hasan’s mosque. That’s part of my point–the definition for what counts as extremist is pretty wide open, to the extent that citizens are not privy to CIA’s coutnerterrorism profiles.

  28. fatster says:

    Another ACLU torture suit.

    N.J. man alleges FBI torture threat in Kenyan jail

    “WASHINGTON — An American Muslim who was captured while fleeing Somalia in 2007 accused two FBI agents and two other U.S. officials Tuesday of illegally interrogating him and threatening torture while he was allegedly held at U.S. behest in Kenyan and Ethiopian jails.

    “In a lawsuit filed on behalf of Amir Meshal of Tinton Falls, N.J., the American Civil Liberties Union alleged that he’d been held in “stark and inhuman conditions” and had “suffered physical injuries, pain and suffering, severe mental anguish, as well as loss of income and livelihood.”‘

  29. Mary says:

    I don’t think I agree and I guess it ties a bit with the comment at 49 (which I don’t really agree with in full either, but it does provoke a different train of thought).

    I guess it goes to what you mean by “suspicious.” Of the major themes out there, on the “he’s a member of al-qaeda” I guess I’d agree that nothing discussed should have triggered a presumption of Hasan planning a lone wolf “al-qaeda style” attack. OTOH, on the theme that this was a guy who was getting very frustrated and unhappy in the military and gave off signs that he may have been getting unstable in his anger and frustration, I do think that things like his presentations were “suspicious” in the sense that they should have created a different and more investigative response in the military.

    And that goes to the nature of our wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and our handling of “GWOT” prisoners, etc. We are engaged in two wars of aggression and election, wars were we have expressly adopted depravity as our method of handling civilian populations; wars where we have expressly adopted policies of “policing” areas by blowing up civilians as collateral damage to drone attacks; wars where we are expressly siding with some drug lords against others and supporting corrupt governments to our own political ends.

    Now – transplant quasi-equivalent facts into an alternate scenario – say we had done the same thing in Italy, including occupation of the Vatican City. We collect Catholic Italians on the basis of wearing dark clothes, Casio watches, having a rosary, or for no reason or to use as hostages or for experimentation. We do what was done at Abu Ghraib. We do what was done at Bagram, Camp Namba, etc. Ethnic Italian Catholics from around the world who purportedly had contacts with segments of the Holy See are kidnapped from around the world and disappeared. It’s discovered that we are torturing them and often for no reason. We start making drone attacks in largely Catholic areas to get insurgents and kill off white Catholic babies as collateral damage.

    Now say a clearly and strongly ethnic Italian-American Catholic military psychiatrist begins trying to get out of the military. Gives papers highlighting that Catholics in the military may well feel we are at war against Catholicism. Points to the destruction of parts of the Vatican City and its priceless relics and the Pope’s edict that the US war is unjust and is a war on Catholicism as factors pushing US Catholics in the military to being very torn and subject to engaging in adverse events if they are not at least allowed to take conscientious objector status.

    Would I think that this imaginary Italian-American Catholic military psychiatrist’s actions were “suspicious” that he had joined up with some radical Catholic insurgency to attack an American military base? No- but I would still think that his presentations in the context of the realities of our war should have made someone look hard and think twice about continuing him on active duty when he was trying to get out.

    Wars of aggression initiated by a melting pot nation are going to trigger a particularly adverse response within the nation by persons who have close ties to the nations we are fighting. When we substitute a “concept” for a nation and conflate that concept with a religion to dumb it down to make it easily digestible for our nation and to make military objectives easier (we killed a lot of “them” as opposed to a lot of civilians) you end up with very stressed members of that religion, especially if they are also serving in the military.

    Add in a religion that on its own and historically has had a concept of members of the religion needing to rally to each others aid in the event of an aggressive invasion by non-believers – and I think the military has a big ol area of suspicions with respect to members of the military whose religion the military and Executive have allowed to be equated with being “the enemy” and the “them”

    What made Hasan’s actions “suspicious” is the context of a US war that America and its military and Executive and Intelligence communities have casually and even intentionally allowed to be conflated with a religion. And when the occupation goes on and on, through Presidents and Political Parties in charge, with no seeming mission other than continued war on the inhabitants, well – at that point people in the military who share the religion and are complaining about being in the military and arguing that the military mission is being seen as a war on their religion — I think that would and should raise two sets of flags. One set, that those members of the military should be suspected of being less than committed to the mission that they are complaining about and trying to leave the military over, and the other set of flags – – – that the military mission is wrong.

    I didn’t hear Obama’s speech (I’ve gotten to where I look forward to his speeches the way I looked forward to Bush’s speeches) but I did hear the NPR blurb on it, over and over. That he said something like *no religion justifies what was done*

    Well, that’s helpful, isn’t it?

    I greatly disagree with the part of 49 indicating that any non-crimnal, non-mentally disturbed person could treat the victims at Ft Hood as “legitimate” military targets, any more than the civilian killed in their sleep by drones were legitimate military targets. More and more, their blood is directly on Obama’s hands. And when someone like awlaki puts up crap like he did on his site, then he borrows blood for his hands too. Criminals are criminals, and this GWOT inane fascination with nominations of “warrior-hood” to actions that are just criminal – the relegation of being a soldier to a lesser and secondary status to being a “warrior,” is partially what drives the mindset of running up kills and body counts with non-combatant devastation.

    The insurgent who kills in a crowd is no more taking out legitimate targets than is the drone operator who murders babies in their beds. If we lose a sense of disgust for all of those criminal acts, then we change on a very basic level.

    Unrelated, but related in general – I’m guessing Hasan will also be a rallying point for why we can’t take action against US war criminals – you cant tie John Yoo’s and George Tenet’s hands to where they are too afraid of criminal consequences to save us all from the Hasan’s of the world.

    *sigh*

    • Hmmm says:

      OTOH, on the theme that this was a guy who was getting very frustrated and unhappy in the military and gave off signs that he may have been getting unstable in his anger and frustration, I do think that things like his presentations were “suspicious” in the sense that they should have created a different and more investigative response in the military.

      I suppose one possibile explanation would be if the current average/general level of upset, frustration, resistance, etc. of those getting deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan is running so high that Hasan’s stressed tenor didn’t stand out against everyone else’s. I don’t have the background sense to evaluate that, does anyone else here?

      For that matter, does anyone here know whether the weapon purchase was actually unusual for someone about to deploy? Again I don’t, but I also remember a long history of stories about soldiers buying their own battle gear — bulletproof vests, vehicle armor etc. — because the USG was persistently failing to adequately equip them for their safety in-theater. Does that gap extend to weapons? Hasan’s time at Walter Reed would, one imagines, have exposed him to some of the most extreme stories/information about USG failures to support soldiers in the field. From that POV, making sure he had a really good self defense weapon before deploying might have been a rational step, especially since he knew he’d be in extended close contact with whatever number of soldiers and contractors the insane war has made insane with indiscriminate, murderous Islamophobia. Whatever actions against him by fellow soldiers could be assumed to be more destructive than what he’d already experienced stateside.

      Of course from the POV of his previous history, the attack was the opposite of rational. But put all the elements together that were present just before the attack, and you’ve got a potentially highly explosive pile. As far as understanding what happened goes, the big question at this point is not the prior history and the intel – law enforcement handling of it, but rather why did he go astable at that point — was it premeditated?, was there some further and extreme provocation we don’t know about yet and he snapped?, did something entirely different in nature happen to make Hasan go a little funny in the head? Again, irrational based on what came before. The previous history as we know it so far while concerning did not rise to a level that would have supported a prediction of mass mayhem.

      That is not meant to minimize in any way the importance of heading off the opportunistic, disingenuous grabs of power and Constitutional rights by Lieberman, CrazyPete, et al. In that sense (and in that sense only) I agree that this attack is analogous to 9/11, though unlike last time, this time we actually have a chance to stop the rights erosion train.

      • Hmmm says:

        Worried observer only. Zero first hand knowledge. Trying to offer the few thoughts that occur to me, in case they spark better thoughts in others. That’s all.

      • timr says:

        my understanding-and this came from reading a book by a new shrink many years ago-was that anyone wanting to be a shrink had to undergo one on one therapy to determine if he was stable enough to treat mental illnesses. Is this true? Was he allowed to become a Dr because of the shortage of Army shrinks?
        As for PDW. As to a Dr I am unsure of current regs, but when I was in Drs did not carry guns of any kind.Red Cross, ya know. As to others, unless big change, EM could not have PDWs. Altho senior NCOs and Officers could have PDWs but had to keep them in unit arms room

      • robspierre says:

        Good point about general stress levels. They are high, as witnessed by the problems with Army-related violent crime around Ft, Carson here in Colorado.

        I seem to recall that officers can buy any personal sidearm that they want as long as they can obtain ammunition for it–which might militate against the 5.7-mm FN pistol, since the Army-issue weapon is 9-mm. The FN would be a solid choice, though, for a rear-area person like a doctor that probably would not be issued with a rifle. It was designed for just such purposes. The old 9-mm bullet no longer has enough performance against armored opponents with assault rifles. At short range, the FN 5.7-mm supposedly does.

        The anti-Muslim hazing is also probably connected with low recruiting standards. When my brother went into the Navy in the ’80s, a guy with a neo-Nazi or racist tattoo was either rejected or told to get himself a belt sander. Now tattoos and even Nazi paraphernalia can be openly displayed in barracks. Drug abuse and crimes that used to exclude you from the service now are either OK or are covered up by recruiters.

  30. Mary says:

    Argh – I’m having so many computer problems this morning I’m going to have to go hand off my laptop to IT to see if it needs to be de-bugged. I can’t keep sites connected, keep connections, etc. so while I’ve been trying to put that post up, EW said it with more clarity at 58.

    It’s not so much signs of some “criminal intent” or signs of “being al-Qaeda” it’s signs of someone very troubled and legitimately troubled by the role the military is requiring that they play. It’s like the kids who killed at Columbine and elsewhere – where there signs of someone very troubled who should get help is a different question than where there signs of someone who was going to go and murder a lot of students.

    IMO, it’s the leaks about the contacts with awlaki (that are being acknwoledged as being innocent) that are driving the conversation/speculation to more of a “signs of someone who is a terrorist going to engage in murder” vs the “signs of someone under severe mental stress” conversation. fwiw – if I can post this.

    I wish I had a tech gene.

    • fatster says:

      We’re happy as can be that you’ve got the brilliant genes you have. Leave IT to the geeky genes crowd.

  31. mulcher says:

    In late 2006, Aulaqi was released from prison in Yemen, over US objections, where he says he was subject to interrogation by the FBI. Anwar never responded to my emailed inquiry about his relationship with “anthrax weapons suspect” (his counsel’s phrase) Ali Al-Timimi and only responded to a couple of 10-20 emails by the Ft. Hood shooter Hasan. By way of some background, in March 2002, fellow Falls Church iman Anwar Aulaqi — known as the “911 imam” — suddenly left the US and went to Yemen, thus avoiding the inquiry the 9/11 Commission thought so important. Upon a return visit in Fall 2002, “Aulaqi attempted to get al Timimi to discuss issues related to the recruitment of young Muslims,” according to a court filing by Al-Timimi’s attorney at the time, Edward MacMahon. McMahon reports that those “entreaties were rejected.”

    Al-Timimi’s counsel explained in a court filing unsealed in April 2008: “]911 imam] Anwar Al-Aulaqi goes directly to Dr. Al-Timimi’s state of mind and his role in the alleged conspiracy. The 9-11 Report indicates that Special Agent Ammerman interviewed Al-Aulaqi just before or shortly after his October 2002 visit to Dr. Al-Timimi’s home to discuss the attacks and his efforts to reach out to the U.S. government.”

    Falls Church imam Awlaqi (Aulaqi), who met with hijacker Nawaf, reportedly was picked up in Yemen by Yemen security forces at the request of the CIA in the summer of 2006. British and US intelligence had him and others under surveillance. Al-Timimi would speak alongside fellow Falls Church imam Awlaqi (Aulaqi) at conferences such as the August 2001 London JIMAS and the August 2002 London
    JIMAS conference. They would speak on subjects such as signs before the day of judgment and the like. Dozens of their lectures are available online. Unnamed U.S. officials told the Washington Post in 2008 that “they have come to believe that Aulaqi worked with al-Qaida networks in the Persian Gulf after leaving Northern Virginia.” One official said: “There is good reason to believe Anwar Aulaqi has been involved in very serious terrorist activities since leaving the United States, including plotting attacks against America and our allies.” “Some believe that Aulaqi was the first person since the summit meeting in Malaysia with whom al-Mihdhar and al-Hazmi shared their terrorist intentions and plans,” former Senate Intelligence committee chairman Bob Graham wrote in his 2004 book “Intelligence Matters.”

    Awlaqi was hired in early 2001 in an attempt by the mosque’s leaders to appeal to younger worshipers. Born in New Mexico and raised in Yemen, he had the total package. He was young, personable, fluent in English, eloquent and knowledgeable about Middle East politics. Hani Hanjour and Nawaf Al Hazmi worshiped at Aulaqi’s mosque for several weeks in spring 2001. The 9/11 commission noted that the two men apparently showed up because Nawaf Hazmi had developed a close relationship with Aulaqi in San Diego. In 2001, Awlaqi came to Falls Church from San Diego shortly before Nawaf did. Awlaqi told the FBI that he did not recall what Nawaf and he had discussed in San Diego and denied having contact with him in Falls Church.

    The travel agent right on the same floor as Al-Timimi’s Dar Arqam mosque organized trips to hajj in February 2001. San Francisco attorney Hal Smith was his roommate. Smith tells me that he was very extreme in his views when speaking privately and not like his smooth public persona. “Aulaqi is deep into hardcore militant Islam. He is not a cleric who just says prayers and counsels people as some of his supporters have suggested.” Sami al-Hussayen uncle checked into the same Herndon, VA hotel, the Marriot Residence Inn, on the same night — September 10, 2001 as Hani Hanjour and Nawaf al-Hazmi, and another hijacker. Hussayen had a seizure during an FBI interview and although doctors found nothing wrong with him was allowed to return home. During his trip to the US, al_Hussay had visited both “911 imam” Aulaqi and Ali Al-Timimi.

    The unclassified portion of a U.S. Department of Justice memorandum dated September 26, 2001 states:

    “Aulaqi was familiar enough with Nawaf Alhazmi to describe some of Alhazmi’s personality traits. Aulaqi considered Alhazmi to be a loner who did not have a large circle of friends. Alhazmi was slow to enter into personal relationships and was always very soft spoken, a very calm and extremely nice person. Aulaqi did not see Alhazmi as a very religious person, based on the fact that Alhazmi never wore a beard and neglected to attend all five daily prayer sessions.”

    In March 2002, Awlaqi suddenly left the US and went to Yemen, thus avoiding the inquiry the 9/11 Commission thought so important. “Aulaqi attempted to get al Timimi to discuss issues related to the recruitment of young Muslims,” according to a court filing by Al-Timimi’s attorney at the time, Edward MacMahon. McMahon reports that those “entreaties were rejected.” The Washington Post explains that “After leaving the United States in 2002, Aulaqi spent time in Britain, where he developed a following among young ultra-conservative Muslims through his lectures and audiotapes. His CD “The Hereafter” takes listeners on a tour of Paradise that describes “the mansions of Paradise,” “the women of Paradise,” and “the greatest of the pleasures of Paradise.” In London, after leaving the United States, he spoke at JIMAS and argued that in light of the rewards offered to martyrs in Jennah, or Paradise, Muslims should be eager to give his life in fighting the unbelievers. “Don’t think that the tones that die in the sake of Allah are dead — they are alive, and Allah is providing for them. So the shaheed is alive in the sense that his soul is in Jennah, and his soul is alive in Jennah.” He moved to Yemen, his family’s ancestral home, in 2004.” Before his arrest in Yemen in mid-2006, Aulaqi lectured at an Islamist university in San’a run by Abdul Majid al-Zindani, who fought with Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan and was designated a terrorist in 2004 by the United States and the United Nations.

    In court documents in New York filed in 2004, the United States alleged that while in the US, Aulaqi served as vice president of a charity alleged to be a front that sent money to al-Qaeda. The Washington Post reports that tax records show that in 1998 and 1999, while in San Diego, Aulaqi served as vice president of the now-defunct Charitable Society for Social Welfare, Inc., the U.S. branch of a Yemeni charity founded by Zindani. Documents filed in 2004 in Alexandria, Va., recount that in 2002, Aulaqi returned briefly to Northern Virginia where he visited Al-Timimi and asked him about recruiting young Muslims for “violent jihad.”

    Law enforcement sources told the Post that Aulaqi was visited by Ziyad Khaleel, who the government has previously said purchased a satellite phone and batteries for bin Laden in the 1990s. The Post explains: “Khaleel was the U.S. fundraiser for Islamic American Relief Agency, a charity the U.S. Treasury has designated a financier of bin Laden and which listed Aulaqi’s charity as its Yemeni partner. In what is another seminal article by Susan Schmidt, the Washington Post explains: “The FBI also learned that Aulaqi was visited in early 2000 by a close associate of Omar Abdel Rahman, the so-called Blind Sheik who was convicted of conspiracy in connection with the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, and that he had ties to people raising money for the radical Palestinian movement Hamas, according to Congress and the 9/11 Commission report.”

    He now has been released. What did Awlaqi, detained in mid-2006 and held for a year and a half, tell questioners, if anything, about his fellow Falls Church imam and fellow Salafist conference lecturer Ali Al-Timimi? The Washington Post reports that in a taped interview posted on December 31, 2007 on a British Web site, “Aulaqi said that while in prison in Yemen, he had undergone multiple interrogations by the FBI that included questions about his dealings with the 9/11 hijackers.” “I don’t know if I was held because of that or because of the other issues they presented,” Aulaqi said. Aulaqi said he would like to travel outside Yemen but would not do so “until the U.S. drops whatever unknown charges it has against me.”

    Ali Al-Timimi’s defense counsel in a court filing told the federal district court that Al-Timimi was an “anthrax weapons suspect.” Has Anwar Aulaqi ever been questioned on the subject of anthrax? What did he say?

  32. PeorgieTirebiter says:

    All the speculation about “red flags” makes me wonder a couple of things.
    Minus the Muslim Religiosity, how many thousands of soldiers present similar red flags daily? What disturbing thoughts would be revealed by a Facebook search for every soldier employed by Xe? I’m not sure mass murderers don’t, in the end, defy all rational explanations. It seems like “triggering events” are always only assigned in retrospect. One man’s triggering event could be another man’s dawning moment. After the fact, everything fits so nothing fits

  33. whitewidow says:

    From a civil liberties standpoint, I actually find it somewhat encouraging that the FBI didn’t jump to a lot of conclusions about Hasan and go whole hog based on his religious intercepts, but it does make me wonder why. They spend resources tracking vegans and quilting grannies. They have gone to great lengths to make cases against what appear to me (and a couple of juries) to be sad, confused, pathetic, wannabe jihadists – but they miss making connections in a case that actually resulted in an “attack”. Of course the reality is that they can not track down every lead on every slightly suspicious person, make all of these connections in real time and figure out a potential perpetrator’s mind and motives. He had really not done anything yet.

    This is why giving up excessive amounts of privacy to stop crime/terrorism is a bad trade unless you’re willing to go all the way to Thought Police. But of course gun privacy is the only privacy right that’s defended, when it’s the most directly applicable to intent to commit terrorism.

    I was struck by the coverage on MSNBC, in particular on The Ed Show. Ed was trying to get the “military analyst” and the “former FBI profiler” to call this a terrorist attack. They stopped short of that but were emphasizing Hasan’s religious beliefs as the cause. They attributed his being retained in the military after reported poor reviews from co-workers and other warning signs to “political correctness.” They stated that the military had to be oh-so-careful of Muslims feelings. Seriously? If the military has to be that “politically correct” in regard to Muslims they’re the only ones in America who do.

    What they very carefully avoided was any talk of Hasan’s motives being due to stress or pressure or PTSD related to the stories of those he treated (we don’t know what his motives were yet, it could well have been his religious views). Or any mention of other violent domestic incidents involving soldiers. Or any talk whatsoever of how the military itself is under stress or broken, multiple deployments, trouble recruiting and finding qualified personnel, lowering the standards for acceptance,etc. It seems likely to me that Hasan was left in place simply because so much had already been invested in him, he would be hard to replace and those around him making the decision are under great pressure to keep soldiers and staff coming to feed the machine. It seems to me that it was a case of everyone just allowing the usual process to take place with Hasan and not making waves, rather than political correctness.

    We have a military that hands its soldiers with PTSD a couple of bottles of anti-depressants and sleeping pills and then sends them for a third combat tour. I doubt too many were losing sleep over Hasan’s fitness, in practice it’s probably not in their job description.

    The other theme being forwarded by the two guests on Ed was that we don’t need no steenking congressional investigation into this. The repeated phrases were “the military is capable of handling this on their own” and “we don’t need congressional overreach or meddling.”

    I haven’t watched Ed much, so I don’t know his usual slant on national security or the GWOT, but it really struck me that eventhelibrul was hitting the “terrorist attack” meme hard.

    • TarheelDem says:

      About Ed. There are a lot of things that Ed has to do to please his bosses so that he can be free to do other things, like hitting hard at healthcare reform.

      One of those things is inviting on “balancing” guests or MSNBC “consultants”.

      The former FBI profiler is not very good. He is a proponent of the suicide theory in the death of the Kentucky schoolteacher found naked, hanged, and with FED scrawled across his chest.

      As for Jack Jacobs, go revisit his commentary before the Iraq War.

  34. robspierre says:

    The key fact here is the harassment, in my view. What we know so far looks a lot more like someone breaking under stress and lashing out at his employer–what we used to call “going postal”–than it does like international conspiracy.

    As I recall, a previous case of grenade-throwing in Iraq was traced to the same harassment of Musilims. Based on historical experience, the Army should consider ANY organized hazing on religious or racial grounds a major a grave threat to morale and a major warning sign of imminent trouble. In the Vietnam War, we had racially motivated “fraggings”. Add religious and ethnic ties between a minority in our own ranks and the enemy, and the results could only be expected to be worse. So I would expect the chain of command and the military policing services to be cracking down on even the slightest hints of bias.

    Yet, from what I can see, the military has done anything but suppress the harassment. Instead, we’ve seen multiple instances of right-wing pseudo-Christian officers publicly encouraging such behavior and going unreprimanded. One hates to think what happens out of the public eye, though I have heard stories from people in the services.

    If we were serious about fighting wars in the Middle East and Afghanistan, we would place the highest value on Muslims servicemen in general, Arabic-speakers in particular, and doctors above all. That we don’t is more strong evidence for what most of us here have suspected all along: these wars have nothing to do with national defense or military objectives and everything to do with domestic power politics.

    We mustn’t allow the failings of our political and military leadership to be swept under the carpet of intelligence-gathering and security. Non-leadership of military has clearly undermined the understanding of what Americaness is, seriously harmed service morale and gravely weakened our forces.

    • earlofhuntingdon says:

      All good points. I suspect that what neither Democrats nor Republicans nor the Army want exposed is not so much the possibly disparate actions that might have led a trained analyst to worry that Dr. Hasan could act out violently. It is that the Army’s recruiting efforts and deployment patterns are breaking it and its people, as are Mr. Bush’s wars, which Mr. Obama is continuing in large measure.

      The leadersheep of both parties want these wars. Neither wants a draft or wants the public to be more aware of and vocal about what they cost our men and women. They are cheerleaders for the fictional unscrupulous Texas football coach who will tear through his team to win any victory, making them play broken and stunned, illegally injected and artificially pumped.

      They do not want to stop, they want to “win”, but they don’t want a draft or an openly debated war or war budget (supplementals only, please). Goodness knows, adverse consequences might then flow their way, too, and that’s not how Washington is supposed to work.

        • earlofhuntingdon says:

          I think that’s right. We have no definition of “winning”, be it in the wars in Iraq or Afghanistan, or those on drugs and terror. We have only the fight, and the expensive toys and bloated budgets and gutted civil liberties laws with which to fight it.

          Inside the Beltway resembles nothings so much as a wicked witch’s carnival fun house, designed to enthrall her child visitors until they exhaust and then finally eat themselves.

        • robspierre says:

          Exactly. Whenever a politician talks about winning, we need to ask “WHAT do we win?” And we have to refuse to take vague talk about “lasting security” as an answer. We need to make them tell us what we get in exchange for our lives, limbs, minds, and money. My guess is that they won’t have much of an answer.

  35. larryv says:

    The guy is grandstanding because he is running for Governor of Michigan. So “hollarin” and carrying on about Ft Hood in his mind will divert the voters in the great State Of Michigan for the realities of Hoekstra…he has NO solutions, NO ideas, NO plan on how he can change the lay of the land where at least 25% of the voters have not job or prospect of a job. It is always better to worry about evil foreign boogeyman rather than the guy hauling your car away, your unemployment has run out, your foreclosure notice arrived today and the Italians own Chrysler. The man is a charlatan and he just doesn’t want Michiganders to know. But guess what…they do and those that don’t will soon enough.

  36. timr says:

    As to the gun purchase. The BATF and Fumbling Bunch of Idiots do not seem to have any problems arresting people making straw man gun purchases-guns which are then resold to Mexico drug gangs-so the purchase of a semiauto pistol and the FBI bitching about gun shop records seems to be a non issue(and a definite non starter as far as any law ever changing the Way Things Are) A great many gun owners have a real worry-to them- about any govt having records of their gun purchases.
    To me, the central problem is that of command failure. The US Army medical dept has had many command failure issues over the years-Walther Reed and its treatment of wounded soldiers for one-so its failure here is just one more in a long line. Then you have the medical branch concern with PC. Saying that they did not investigate the Mjr because he was arabic is total PC BS. As a platoon Sgt I did not see AA,white, latino or asian, I treated everyone exactly the same, they all wore green, so they were all green. If someone fuked up, it was on that person, not his racial identity, but on his failure to follow rules and orders. That is how I was taught to lead my platoon-a combat arms platoon-As an acting First Sgt I treated everyone in the company the same, always. Black, white, yellow, brown all = green. No more, no less. And yes, I was around, as an E-5 and 6 when the race riots(prior to the draft being dropped) were happening, one happened in my unit. It was shut dwn very quickly and the perps were arrested and removed from the unit within hours.(as was the unit commander who was white and was very much a racist)PC has no use in any military unit. It is contrary to morale, good order and discipline. and also, yes we had some known gays in every unit I was in. We knew who they were, they were treated-by me anyway if they were under my command-exactly like everyone else. I did not allow any racial or any BS against anyone while on duty. Everyone worked together, all facing the same direction.If for no other reason that their lives depended on knowing that they could depend on the man next to them.

  37. Mary says:

    and now military is pushing back, saying they don’t know anything about him trying to get out of the military – ever.

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091112/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/us_fort_hood_shooting

    Meanwhile, the Pentagon has found no evidence that Hasan formally sought release from the Army as a conscientious objector or for any other reason, two senior military officials told The Associated Press. Family members have said he wanted to get out of the Army and had sought legal advice, suggesting that Hasan’s anxiety as a Muslim over his pending deployment overseas might have been a factor in the deadly rampage.

    Hasan had complained privately to colleagues that he was harassed for his religion and that he wanted to get out of the Army. But there is no record of Hasan filing a complaint with his chain of command regarding any harassment he may have suffered for being Muslim or any record of him formally seeking release from the military, the officials told the AP.

    as per the drill, an anonymous source.

    But if he was already unhappy and wanting out at Walter Reed, someone is going on the record with what it meant for him to be transferred to Ft. Hood.

    An extra year’s service

    Another Army official, Lt. Col. George Wright, said Wednesday that Hasan likely would have had to commit to another year in the military when he was transferred to Fort Hood earlier this summer. It is common for an officer to incur a one-year service extension when they receive a transfer to another post.

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