Three Things: Eff These Effing Effers
That mealy-mouthed compromised weasel Lindsey Graham spent a lot of time whining on the Sunday talk show circuit this weekend.
Somebody out there has the dirt on Graham. Just. Spill. It. Find a vehicle to do the job, get yourself clear, and let it rip because all of us, Democrats and Republicans alike, are going to spend too much time mopping up Lindsey’s alligator tears if his personal problem isn’t addressed out in the open.
He wouldn’t be doing all this whining about Democrats and backstabbing his own party if he was hidey-holed trying to lick his wounds. It’s not like he’s got anything to lose in 2022 or 2024 because he was just re-elected, goddamn it all.
Just. Spill. The. Dirt. Lance the festering boil animating Graham. Back up the truck, press DUMP, and run like hell.
~ 3 ~
Until somebody gets smart and dumps the dirt on Graham, we need to regroup and get in gear for 2022. We can’t lose the Senate or we’ll end up with two years of stagnation and worse. If the last two years were bad, an economic depression making the 1930s look like a piece of cake could result from the GOP taking the Senate again.
Here’s the targets of our offense:
|State||Class III||Cook PVI||Age Now||Open||‘2018 Moscow||Convict Trump|
|Pennsylvania||Pat Toomey (R)||Even||59||Open||N||Y|
|Wisconsin||Ron Johnson (R)||Even||65||Y||N|
|Florida||Marco Rubio (R)||R+02||49||N||N|
|Iowa||Chuck Grassley (R)||R+03||87||N||N|
|North Carolina||Richard Burr (R)||R+03||65||Open||N||Y|
|Ohio||Rob Portman (R)||R+03||65||Open||N||N|
|Arizona||Mark Kelly (D)||R+05||56||N||Y|
|Georgia||Raphael Warnock (D)||R+05||51||N||Y|
|South Carolina||Tim Scott (R)||R+08||55||N||N|
|Alaska||Lisa Murkowski (R)||R+09||63||N||Y|
|Missouri||Roy Blunt (R)||R+09||71||N||N|
|Indiana||Todd Young (R)||R+09||48||N||N|
|Louisiana||John Kennedy (R)||R+11||69||Y||N|
|Kansas||Jerry Moran (R)||R+13||66||Y||N|
|Alabama||Richard Shelby (R)||R+13||86||Open||Y||N|
|South Dakota||John Thune (R)||R+14||60||Y||N|
|Arkansas||John Boozman (R)||R+15||70||N||N|
|Kentucky||Rand Paul (R)||R+15||58||N||N|
|North Dakota||John Hoeven (R)||R+17||63||Y||N|
|Idaho||Mike Crapo (R)||R+19||69||N||N|
|Oklahoma||James Lankford (R)||R+20||52||N||N|
|Utah||Mike Lee (R)||R+20||49||N||N|
These are all the GOP seats up for re-election or open in 2022, sorted by their Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. The strongest rated GOP are at the bottom, the weakest at the top.
Sen. Shelby, one of those who went to Moscow, is 86 years old. He’s likely retiring due to age; it’s not clear why Putin would have ensured he was invited unless he knew something about Shelby not obvious to us. But Shelby is the likely ceiling on Cook PVI at R+13.
I’ve inserted two of the newest Democratic senators in the table, noting their state is rated R+5. This should tell us that every single seat at R+5 to Even is highly gettable with solid organizing on the ground. If you live in one of these states, you should be looking into helping as soon as possible. Those two Democrats, Kelly and Warnock, also need help; they won a special election, but must now fight for the Class III seat for the full six-year term.
Every one of the GOP senators who went to Moscow is vulnerable. Moscow wouldn’t have invited them if they weren’t either compromised, soft and could be compromised, or whatever psychographic and demographic data Putin’s data trolls had pulled together indicated these seats would trend left long before the pandemic.
Louisiana, for example, is increasingly non-white, its population become less white and more non-white at a rate of 1/4% per year. In 2018, the state was 58.4% non-Hispanic white. COVID may have stemmed some of that shift by way of Team Trump’s passive genocide by neglect, but that still means 41.6% of the population is non-white. Strong, effective organizing like that in Georgia this last election season could make Louisiana gettable, and it could explain why Moscow reached out to Sen. Kennedy.
Iowa is gettable for other reasons — the damage Trump did to farmers with his unnecessary trade war, Chuck Grassley’s decrepitude, a strong Democratic candidate pipeline, to name a few. What Iowa will need, though, is to get its act together with regard to its primary process. DNC’s new chair Jaime Harrison may be looking into this early rather than later to assure smooth sailing into 2022.
Speaking of Harrison, all those other less-gettable seats shouldn’t be ignored. Harrison appears ready to reinstitute a 50-state strategy leaving no seat uncontested. Kentucky, for example, shouldn’t be ceded because it’s rated R+15 and McConnell just won re-election there; if Charles Booker was interested in running against Rand Paul, he could stand a decent chance of winning, let alone make Paul work hard for his seat.
Pick a race or two. Get engaged early. Figure out how to help. Do not let the fascist GOP believe it has a chance at continued minority rule.
~ 2 ~
A new conservative party may soon emerge, consisting of more traditional conservatives who identified as Republican and are not Trump supporters.
.@EvanMcMullin, Executive Director of Stand Up Republic, and more than 120 former GOP officials have discussed forming an Anti-Trump third party. He tells @Lawrence that the Republican response to the events of January 6 was the impetus for that meeting. https://t.co/uOnNeR4oKx pic.twitter.com/2Cg17s2xHW
— The Last Word (@TheLastWord) February 12, 2021
This is a good move; I hope these folks do all the right things, getting their party formally established and organized in all 50 states. Could these folks peel away a few centrist Democrats? Possibly. But they’re more likely to fragment the power of the existing GOP.
We’d also be closer to a multi-party model than we have been, preventing a far more fascist entity like the Party of Trumpism from taking control of any branch of government.
Many Democrats have been upset about House Speaker Pelosi’s remarks saying this country needs a strong Republican Party:
During a press conference with House managers after Trump’s second impeachment trial, Nancy Pelosi said: “I think our country needs a strong Republican party. It’s very important.” pic.twitter.com/aPbxgxDlYd
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) February 13, 2021
But I wonder if what she really meant was a the country needs a strong party which believes in a republic — a democratic republic — giving a subtle nod to McMullin and the other breakaway Republicans who are interested in a pro-democracy conservative party.
Consider the timing of her remarks made on Saturday, while McMullin discussed the potential new party on Friday.
~ 1 ~
Of all the whining that pasty, soft-handed, slack-assed Graham did this weekend, this pissed me off the most.
Lindsey Graham suggests Kamala Harris will be impeached if Republicans take back the House next year pic.twitter.com/J68Or4k1la
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) February 14, 2021
Right, asshole. You want to impeach the first Black-Asian woman VP because she supported First Amendment-protected peaceful protests against racist police brutality while she was a senator? Or are you really just eager to impeach Harris because she’s Black-Asian, woman, and a VP like you will never be?
Go ahead and try it, whiner. You’re only giving every American who is non-white and/or woman impetus to organize even harder to get out the mothertrucking vote.
I really do hope there’s a new pro-democracy conservative party ready to run for Lindsey Graham’s seat in six years. I’d even donate money to them to see them make him whine even harder.
~ 0 ~
If you’re inside the polar vortex, I hope you’re able to stay warm. Reduce your electricity consumption as much as you can tolerate it to keep the load on the grid down. This web site is cheesy looking but it has some decent pointers about keeping warm. If you’re not in the vortex, do some emergency preparedness work because we don’t know with certainty how this or the next vortex will pan out.
And for dogs’ sake, stay off the road if at all possible if you live where snow and ice are rarities.
Oh, and double mask to protect against the newer highly-transmissible UK version of COVID.