Debbie Stabenow v. Ben Nelson; Cherry Orchards v. Con Agra

This could be an interesting, beneficial outcome of this year’s election: Debbie Stabenow ascending to Chair the Agriculture Committee.

As of his last calculation, Nate Silver gives the Democrats an 84% chance of keeping the Senate. But they’ll keep it without Blanche Lincoln, whom Nate gives a 100% chance of losing to John Boozman. And that’ll open up the Chairmanship on Ag.

The Politico reports that, in spite of the fact that four people have more seniority on the committee, Stabenow stands a decent chance of getting the post, though Bad Nelson might demand it as his reward for staying in the caucus.

Michigan’s Debbie Stabenow is seen as the front-runner to replace Lincoln, but that’s not a given. Nebraska moderate Ben Nelson might win the post as a consolation prize for staying in the Democratic Party, or Kent Conrad of North Dakota could abandon his budget chairmanship to take the helm.

[snip]

“Everybody in town seems to think that she is most likely going to be the next chairman,” said one lobbyist who tracks the committee.

Sources close to the panel say the Michigan Democrat is well-liked by her colleagues and earned their respect during the last round of farm bill negotiations by bridging the interests of states with commodity crops and those with specialty fruit and vegetables.

But because Michigan isn’t your typical Big Ag state, some observers say Stabenow might face opposition from powerful industry lobbies. “There would probably be fear among some of the industry leaders of the cotton people and the wheat people and the barley people if they saw Stabenow take the helm,” said an industry source close to the committee.

Now, Stabenow isn’t always the most hardnosed leader. And on occasions (notably, the bankruptcy bill) she has put corporate interests ahead of her constituents.

But as the Politico article suggests, she would make a very interesting Ag Chair because of the nature of our Ag industry in MI. That’s because MI’s Ag industry has a diversity second only to CA, but (because of the scale) much less dominated by big players. Here’s a snapshot:

  • Michigan is the national leader in the production of tart cherries, having grown 196 million pounds or 77% of the U.S. total in 2007.
  • Michigan also ranks first nationally for the production of pickling cucumbers, geraniums, petunias, squash and vegetable-type bedding plants.
  • Michigan ranks 3rd in the nation in apple production with over 770 million bushels produced in 2007. The estimated farm-level value was $97.1 million.
  • Michigan is 2nd nationally for beans, carrots, celery, plums and 3rd in asparagus production.
  • Over 887,560 tons of fresh market and processing vegetables were grown in Michigan in 2007. The state ranks 8th in fresh market and 5th in processed vegetable production nationally.
  • Michigan ranks 3rd nationally in value of wholesale sales of floriculture products.
  • In 2007, Michigan led the nation in the value of sales for 13 crops, including: Potted Easter Lilies, Potted Spring Flowering Bulbs, Potted Geraniums (seed), Potted Petunias, Potted New Guinea Impatiens, New Guinea Impatiens Hanging Baskets, Geraniums, Impatiens, Begonia and Petunia Hanging Baskets, Impatiens and New Guinea Impatiens (flats) and Potted Geraniums (cuttings).
  • About 335,000 dairy cows produced 7,598 million pounds of milk in 2007. Michigan ranks 7th nationally for milk production
  • Michigan’s hog production totaled 556 million pounds in 2007. Michigan ranks fourteenth in the

    nation in terms of inventory.

  • There were over 1 million head of cattle in the state in 2007 with an estimated value of $1.42 billion.

(Somehow, that list neglected to mention blueberries, where we also lead the nation). MI farms are, on average, smaller than the national average, though they are more profitable per acre. There’s a very healthy farmers market culture here, and also some proactive efforts to develop locally-branded processed food from our harvest, such as the soy processing plant 10 miles from here that offers a non-GMO soy oil. Our local big grocery chains do a pretty good job of promoting locally produced products.

And then there’s Tony the Tiger, which is about as Big Ag culture as we get.

In other words, if Stabenow gets the Chair it’ll put someone who is not beholden to Big Ag the way the Ag Chairmen typically are. At a time when the local Ag movement is picking up steam, we might have someone whose constituency would support such an effort.

Compare that with the most likely alternative: Ben Nelson. Who represents, among other corporations, Con Agra. As big as Big Ag gets.

Mind you, the decision may be made by the margin with which the Democrats keep the Senate. If we keep it by just two votes, I imagine we’ll see Con Agra continue to rule. But if we can eke out a few more seats, it’ll give Bad Nelson much less leverage to demand this Chairmanship.

(Cherry Orchard image by jsorbieus)

Marcy has been blogging full time since 2007. She’s known for her live-blogging of the Scooter Libby trial, her discovery of the number of times Khalid Sheikh Mohammed was waterboarded, and generally for her weedy analysis of document dumps.

Marcy Wheeler is an independent journalist writing about national security and civil liberties. She writes as emptywheel at her eponymous blog, publishes at outlets including the Guardian, Salon, and the Progressive, and appears frequently on television and radio. She is the author of Anatomy of Deceit, a primer on the CIA leak investigation, and liveblogged the Scooter Libby trial.

Marcy has a PhD from the University of Michigan, where she researched the “feuilleton,” a short conversational newspaper form that has proven important in times of heightened censorship. Before and after her time in academics, Marcy provided documentation consulting for corporations in the auto, tech, and energy industries. She lives with her spouse and dog in Grand Rapids, MI.

  1. bobschacht says:

    Thanks for highlighting Michigan’s amazing diversity. I hope Stabenow gets the job, and they exile Big Ben to the boiler room.

    BTW, I hear a bad storm is heading your way, with potential hurricane-force winds. take care, and bring in the lawn furniture!

    Bob in AZ

  2. phred says:

    OT, just a quick drive-by… I was just popping in for a minute to check the latest news and noticed that the “Home” button is back : )

    EW, please extend my thanks to all the tech folks working so hard behind the scenes to make the upgrade as seamless as possible!

    On topic: Go Stabenow! We are in dire need of better ag policy, I hope she finds herself in a position to deliver it…

  3. beguiner says:

    The amount of freshwater shoreline in MI is astounding. No surprise that MI can produce such a variety of crops. Someday, MI will have a viniculture and cannaculture (medical-MJ) reputation on par with CA.

    • emptywheel says:

      Our wine is getting much better, fairly quickly. And I’ve been told that MI has some of the more business-minded MMJ growers, as well.

      It’s as much or more a factor of our microclimates, though, and some weird hot pockets. But I’ll take it.

      For the last two years I have insisted on doing an all-MI thanksgiving, from the sugar to the wheat to the turkey to the cranberries. It’s one of the few places in the country, I suspect, where you could do a full thanksgiving dinner all in state.

  4. siosal says:

    I see Michigan agriculture survived my two week stint of cherry picking at 50 cents a lug near Old Mission some fifty plus years ago.

    There were wild blueberries in the woods along the West Bay shore back then.

  5. JamesJoyce says:

    History channel did a great piece on the competition between Ohio and Michigan and the effects of the Erie Canal construction. The battle of Toledo.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toledo_War

    Economic significance

    “The land known as the Toledo Strip was and still is a commercially important area. Prior to the rise of the railroad industry, rivers and canals were the major “highways of commerce” in the American Midwest.[12] A small but important part of the Strip — the area around present day Toledo and Maumee Bay — fell within the Great Black Swamp, and this area was nearly impossible to navigate by road, especially after spring and summer rainfalls.[13] Draining into Lake Erie, the Maumee River was not necessarily well-suited for large ships, but it did provide an easy connection to Indiana’s Fort Wayne.[12] At the time, there were plans to connect the Mississippi River and the Great Lakes through a series of canals. One such canal system approved by the Ohio legislature in 1825 was the Miami and Erie Canal that included a connection to the Ohio River and an outflow into Lake Erie via the Maumee River.[9]
    During the conflict over the Toledo Strip the Erie Canal was built, linking New York City and the Eastern seaboard to the Great Lakes at Buffalo. The canal, finished in 1825, immediately became a major route for trade and migration. Corn and other farm products from the Midwest were able to be shipped to eastern markets for much less expense than the older route along the Mississippi River. In addition, the migration of settlers to the Midwest increased sharply after the canal was finished, making existing port cities such as Buffalo boomtowns.[14]”

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miami_and_Erie_Canal.

    • Linnaeus says:

      Today (October 26) happens to be the anniversary of the opening of the Erie Canal.

      “I got a mule, her name is Sal/Fifteen miles on the Erie Canal..”

  6. Rayne says:

    I laugh every time I read about Michigan pickles. If folks are having a sandwich at many of the largest sandwich/burger chain outlets in the U.S., they are eating Michigan pickles.

    Go Michigan pickles!!

  7. jerryy says:

    “Nebraska moderate Ben Nelson might…”

    Are you sure this was not written by someone from the John Birch Society? This is the first time I have read of Senator Nelson being described as moderate.

  8. readerOfTeaLeaves says:

    MI farms are, on average, smaller than the national average, though they are more profitable per acre. There’s a very healthy farmers market culture here, and also some proactive efforts to develop locally-branded processed food from our harvest… Our local big grocery chains do a pretty good job of promoting locally produced products.

    The per acre data is essential to getting the rest of the network in place. I pay a bit more to shop at my local grocery that does the best job of connecting with local ag (“Northwest Grown” is the motto here in Pugetopolis).

    People don’t seem to realize how many potential jobs could emerge from a reinvigorated, locally-based ag system.

  9. ADC14 says:

    As a Master Gardener and volunteer with the State’s extension service, I am both familiar with and proud of Michigan’s agricultural status. Stabenow is quite another matter. She talks a good game, but when it comes time to take a stand, fuhgetaboutit. In fact, neither she nor Levin represent Michigan very well. Levin seems to think he has a lifetime appointment as senator and behaves accordingly. Most recently, he was hawking Obama’s failed Making Home Affordable program as a way to help distressed homeowners. Little Debbie folded like a cheap suit on the public option. They are both medical miracles –able to walk upright without spines.