Iranian Navy Plans Wargames for Saturday: Will the Filipino Monkey Show Up?

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jRbYKKM5cAE[/youtube]

In January of 2008, at a time very similar to now (just under a year out from Presidential elections and with anti-Iran propaganda at a fever pitch in the US media), the Bush administration embarrassed itself mightily in its response to an encounter in the Persian Gulf. As US warships were being approached by five small Iranian craft, a voice came over the airwaves stating “I am coming to you”. A bit later it added “You will explode after a few minutes”. The US quickly claimed this was a threat from the Iranian vessels, but after cooler heads prevailed (and after Iran supplied additional video and audio from the encounter), it was realized that the voice did not match those of the Iranians in the encounter and that the behavior matched that of the legendary radio prankster, the Filipino Monkey.

We learn today from Fars News that Iran plans very large naval wargame exercises on Saturday, in both the Sea of Oman and the Indian Ocean:

Iranian Navy Commander Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari said at a press conference on Thursday that the naval maneuvers dubbed Velayat 90 will start on Saturday and will cover an area stretching from the east of the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Aden.

According to Sayyari, this is the first time that Iran’s Navy carries out naval drills in such a vast area.

He added the exercises will manifest Iran’s military prowess and defense capabilities in the international waters, convey a message of peace and friendship to regional countries, and test the newest military equipment among other objectives of the drills.

It would have been nice if we had seen all of the objectives in the drills rather than a partial list, but it is quite interesting to see the list of weapons systems and equipment that will be involved:

Rear Admiral Sayyari said that the newest missile systems and torpedoes will be employed in the maneuvers, adding that the most recent tactics used in subsurface battles will also be demonstrated in the maneuvers.

He also said that Iranian destroyers, missile-launching vessels, logistic vessels, drones and coastal missiles will also be tested.

With all those torpedoes, missiles and drones running around, what could possibly go wrong? Given the level of posturing by both the US and Iran lately over nuclear technology, assassination plots, spies and drones, these naval wargames seem particularly ripe for generating the type of “misunderstanding” that can quickly escalate to outright hostilities. Throw in the wildcard of spurious, but well-timed, radio provocation, and the Filipino Monkey could move from comedy to tragedy in the blink of an eye.

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emptywheel @mattblaze VZ and foreign data: https://t.co/LsbJ435Hhe I'd love theories abt what that was. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze But only 3 "successes:" Moalin (T-Mobile), Medunjanin (VZ, I think), Tsarnaev (multiple) = cells. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze 2) They used backbone only and now can't get all they want (suspect it's a connection chain thing). @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @mattblaze Several truths behind that myth. 1) VZ provides records differently than AT&T and Sprint. @matthew_d_green @csoghoian
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat Yes. BUt if the govt has its way it'll bypass FISC altogether.
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emptywheel @HistoryCounts AA? Generation post-climate disaster?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat Would the govt approve Comcast merger in spite of monopoly problems knowing they are more willing to play ball than TW?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat There's no question AT&T is more voluntary than VZ, telecoms more voluntary than Internet. But how far does that go?
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emptywheel @DeadPrecariat FWIW, There ARE important differences in willingness to comply voluntarily. But we don't understand what voluntarily means
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emptywheel NSA did NOT go "cold turkey" when PRTT dragnet ended. It moved it to more permissive authorities. https://t.co/l8JOj3U9DG
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emptywheel AP laying groundwork for false claim NSA will end phone dragnet rather than move it to more permissive authorities. https://t.co/l8JOj3U9DG
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