Whither the Douglass Mackey Investigation?
Yesterday, the FBI arrested Douglass Mackey, a far right activist who used the pseudonym Ricky Vaughn, for his efforts in 2016 to suppress Clinton voters. The complaint charges Mackey with a conspiracy against others’ Constitutional rights under 18 USC §241. I want to unpack what the complaint says about where this investigation came from and where it might head, if anywhere.
Mackey and others led almost 5,000 people to miscast their 2016 vote
There’s a lot of language in the complaint about Mackey’s social media efforts — which has a number of right wingers, including those who were tangentially involved in this effort, whining about their own First Amendment rights. Ultimately, though, the crime boils down to ads that Mackay made and popularized in the weeks leading up to the 2016 election encouraging Hillary voters to text their vote. If people did so, they would have thought their vote was cast, when in effect they would have texted it to a void.
The complaint notes that the text code Mackey used for the campaign got 4,900 responses.
According to iVisionMobile, the company that owned the Text Code listed in the two Deceptive Images distributed by MACKEY, at least 4,900 unique telephone numbers texted “[Candidate’s first name]” or some derivative to the Text Code on or about and before Election Day, including many belonging to individuals in the Eastern District of New York. Of the approximately 4,900 numbers that corresponded with the Text Code, approximately 4,850, or 99%, sent their texts after MACKEY first tweeted a Deceptive Image from MACKEY Account 2. [my emphasis]
Effectively, then, the complaint argues that Mackey tricked almost 5,000 people to miscast a Hillary vote, thereby depriving them of their right to cast a valid vote.
This investigation was started and finalized under a Trump US Attorney
Right wingers are also whining that the timing of this complaint shows that the Deep State is moving against Trump supporters immediately after his departure.
That makes no sense.
First, at least two key steps in this investigation, interviews of Paul Nehlen and filmmaker Loren Feldman, happened last fall.
On or about October 5, 2020, FBI agents conducted a voluntary interview with the Congressional Candidate. The Congressional Candidate confirmed that “Ricky Vaughn’s” true name was MACKEY, and that MACKEY had offered his services to his/her campaign. The Congressional Candidate added that, although s/he had never met MACKEY in person, s/he frequently communicated with MACKEY by telephone and via MACKEY’s personal email accounts.
On or about October 19, 2020, FBI agents conducted a voluntary interview of the Filmmaker who again confirmed that s/he had interviewed MACKEY in 2016 and that s/he knew MACKEY at that time by his Twitter name of “Rickey Vaughn.” The Filmmaker futher confirmed that s/he had subsequently been shown a photograph of MACKEY and confirmed that the individual in the photograph was the individual the Filmmaker had met as “Ricky Vaughn.”
In October 2020, as now, the Brooklyn US Attorney was Seth DuCharme. While DuCharme spent his career in EDNY, he was a key aide to Bill Barr, both as Counselor and then PADAG. In July, Barr effectively swapped DuCharme back into EDNY and moved the then US Attorney, Richard Donoghue, to PADAG.
In other words, the guy whose name will be on this indictment is among Barr’s most trusted aides.
DuCharme even issued a strong statement about this prosecution when it was announced.
“There is no place in public discourse for lies and misinformation to defraud citizens of their right to vote,” said Seth D. DuCharme, Acting U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York. “With Mackey’s arrest, we serve notice that those who would subvert the democratic process in this manner cannot rely on the cloak of Internet anonymity to evade responsibility for their crimes. They will be investigated, caught and prosecuted to the full extent of the law.”
I argued in this post that early indictments in the Biden Administration would (because he’s not immediately replacing all US Attorneys) be approved by Trump loyalists, and this is a perfect example of that.
Actions completed in 2016 are being charged in 2021
One of the most interesting questions about this complaint is why actions that were completed in 2016 and didn’t appear to take much investigation beyond some warrants to Twitter and two interviews were only charged in 2021.
It’s not entirely clear where this investigation came from, but the most likely is that when HuffPo originally exposed Mackey in 2018, someone at the FBI or DOJ took notice. That seems all the more likely given that the complaint relies on some of the research in that original story, including that Mackey had a reach on Twitter well outside his follower count.
There was no mistaking Ricky Vaughn’s influence. He had tens of thousands of followers, and his talent for blending far-right propaganda with conservative messages on Twitter made him a key disseminator of extremist views to Republican voters and a central figure in the “alt-right” white supremacist movement that attached itself to Trump’s coattails. The MIT Media Lab named him to its list of top 150 influencers on the election, based on news appearances and social media impact. He finished ahead of NBC News, Drudge Report and Stephen Colbert. Mainstream conservatives didn’t know they were retweeting an avowed racist and anti-Semite, but they liked what Ricky Vaughn had to say.
So the simplest explanation for the genesis of this investigation is that article.
There are other possibilities, though.
For example, as that original HuffPo story noted, Mackey magnified one of the Internet Research Agency’s most effective Twitter accounts, TEN_GOP, which many right wingers mistakenly believed was the official account of Tennessee’s Republican Party.
In the data set of significant accounts we looked at, Ricky Vaughn retweeted @TEN_GOP the most, by far. Although Twitter shut down his @Ricky_Vaughn99 handle in October 2016, another handle he possibly used, @RapinBill, took over and retweeted @TEN_GOP at least 162 times between early March and late August 2017. (@RapinBill also retweeted @Pamela_Moore13, another Kremlin-controlled account, at least 37 times during this period.)
Some far-right sources suggest that @RapinBill might be an account run by another anonymous bad actor, an assertion for which there is no proof, but the account has nevertheless capitalized on the Ricky Vaughn brand of far-right intolerance and fake news. We will update this story as we learn more.
Curiously, @RapinBill, which is still active and followed by Donald Trump Jr., does not appear to have received a single reciprocal retweet from @TEN_GOP during the time period we looked at, perhaps indicating an attempt to conceal the connection. @RapinBill retweeted @TEN_GOP until the end. When Twitter finally shut down @TEN_GOP last August, after having ignored numerous complaints about the Russian account, Ricky Vaughn did not take it well. He groused that @TEN_GOP had been “banned for supporting our president.” Within hours, he was steering traffic to the Kremlin’s backup account:
Another possibility is that this investigation arose out of Mueller’s investigation of Mike Flynn and Roger Stone’s focus on social media during the 2016 election. As Luke O’Brien (the reporter who first unmasked Mackey) noted in his coverage of the complaint, Mackey had ties to efforts involving Flynn and Stone in 2016.
Mackey and the three co-conspirators that HuffPost was able to identify are closely associated with a group of high-level pro-Trump political saboteurs known as “MAGA3X” that had ties to the Trump campaign and Trump’s disgraced former national security adviser Michael Flynn.
Presided over by far-right Twitter influencer Mike Cernovich, white nationalist funder Jeff Giesea, who is a disciple of billionaire Peter Thiel, and neo-Nazi collaborator Jack Posobiec, who counts Roger Stone as a mentor, MAGA3X spearheaded the Pizzagate disinformation campaign on social media that targeted Hillary Clinton in the weeks before the 2016 election.
Mueller’s team focused closely on both Flynn and Stone’s involvement in social media in 2016. In August 2016, Stone pitched both Paul Manafort and Steve Bannon on how to win ugly using social media. The overt parts of Stone’s effort involved an Erik Prince-funded effort to suppress the black vote. One of the still-sealed warrants pertains to multiple Twitter accounts that don’t appear to be Stone’s. And Mueller interviewed several people who worked with Stone on social media campaigns (and asked Andrew Miller about Alex Jones’ campaigns, as well).
The biggest reason to doubt that this investigation comes out of Mueller’s is the venue. While Mackey has ties to Brooklyn, at the time of his actions, he was living in Manhattan, SDNY rather than EDNY. The complaint seems to claim venue based on victims who reside in EDNY, bolded in the blockquote above, not Mackey’s location at the time of his actions. If Mueller had referred this, he presumably would have referred it to where the actions took place, SDNY.
It’s also possible it comes out of the Intelligence Committees’ investigations into disinformation. As Quinta Jurecic noted last night, Mackey’s ads were among those Twitter shared with the committees in 2018, though not by name. But again, the logical place to pick that up would have been SDNY or even DC.
There’s one other possibility. Last fall, in an effort to feed Trump’s conspiracy theories, Barr affirmatively mobilized voter fraud investigations. If someone had been sitting on the evidence unveiled in 2018, Barr’s action would have provided the opportunity to wrap it up into an indictment, effectively using GOP claims of voter fraud as the excuse to prosecute GOP voter fraud.
DOJ charged just one member of a conspiracy
Perhaps the most enticing part of this complaint is that it explicitly includes four other people as co-conspirators.
It describes the actions of Mackey’s co-conspirators to include:
- Discussing how best to optimize social media campaigns
- Retweeting Mackey’s campaigns
- Running several DM-based strategy groups called the Madman Group, the War Room, Fed Free Hatechat
- Fine-tuning some of the ads used
- Posting some of the actual ads
- Adding Mackey’s new accounts back into the DM collaborations after Twitter shut down his accounts
It’s not entirely clear how EDNY chose to treat these four as co-conspirators as distinct from other Twitter users and DM collaboration participants.
O’Brien IDs three of the four co-conspirators:
The complaintlists four co-conspirators referred to only by Twitter “user IDs,” a unique string of numbers assigned to each Twitter account. HuffPost can report that one co-conspirator is a prominent alt-right botmaster who goes by “Microchip” and was instrumental in making pro-Trump and anti-Hillary Clinton hashtags and content go viral on Twitter during the 2016 election. A fascist accelerationist who has expressed admiration for Adolf Hitler and Nazism, Microchip claims to have been involved in the early spread of the QAnon conspiracy cult and repeatedly told this reporter that his goal was to destroy the United States.
Another of Mackey’s co-conspirators is Anthime “Baked Alaska” Gionet, a pro-Trump white nationalist who was arrested on Jan. 16 for his involvement in storming the Capitol on Jan. 6. Gionet also participated in the deadly white nationalist “Unite the Right” rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, in 2017. (A New York Times story reported Wednesday afternoon that Gionet was a co-conspirator, citing a source close to the investigation, and HuffPost can confirm that reporting based on the Twitter ID cited in the complaint.)
HuffPost was able to link the Twitter IDs in the complaint to Gionet and Microchip through previously collected Twitter data, interviews and evidence left by both extremists on other websites. In direct messages with this reporter last year, Microchip also confirmed that he was using the Twitter account associated with the user ID listed in the complaint.
The user ID for a third co-conspirator belongs to a pro-Trump far-right activist who goes by “Nia” and has a long history of spreading disinformation on Twitter. HuffPost has not yet been able to identify the fourth co-conspirator.
It’s unclear whether EDNY plans to add them in an indictment or not. It’s possible they just named them as co-conspirators so as to be able to use their DMs and other Tweets to build the case against Mackey (which would make it a matter of prosecutorial efficacy). It’s also possible they’ll get added when this is indicted.
Particularly given the inclusion of Baked Alaska in here, though, it’s possible that this is an effort to crack down on key far right propagandists as part of a larger crackdown in the wake of the January 6 insurrection.
There’s just one detail that suggests this might go further: the inclusion of a PIN prosecutor in the prosecution team.
Assistant U.S. Attorneys Erik Paulsen and Nathan Reilly of the Eastern District of New York, and Trial Attorney James Mann of the Criminal Division’s Public Integrity Section are prosecuting the case.
Among the other cases James Mann is or was prosecuting are the Andy Khawaja case funneling money from the UAE to both 2016 candidates (though only the Hillary side was charged; George Nader is one of the defendants) and the Elliot Broidy case, whose pardon will close out that case.
While his inclusion by no means makes this a certainty, it raises the chances that this social media activity will either be considered in the scope of campaign donations or might even involve foreign partners.
“Right wingers are also whining that the timing of this complaint shows that the “Deep State is moving against Trump supporters immediately after his departure.
That makes no sense.”
I always appreciate how they include the economic collapse of 2008 on Obama, even though his first budget really kicked in in 2010.
Do we have a good sense how savvy the Mueller team was at sniffing out the IRA fronts like TEN_GOP?
I know they managed to track down both some big efforts and some esoteric ones too, but I don’t remember seeing an analysis of how comprehensive they were.
Did they get a full picture or did they just get the long hanging fruit?
It certainly seems possible they had good sources for handing over the IRA playbook, but I’m also wondering to what extent they were piggybacking off an existing team in the federal government that was monitoring this kind of thing. And if the feds missed Mackey until the HuffPost reporting, I’m curious if they missed some other obvious potential collaborations.
Mueller incorporated an existing review of the social media stuff, though that partly came out of SSCI as much as FBI. They advanced the investigation pretty far, including finding the reconnaissance trips made in 2015. Then after that EDVA charged two more people in complaints that advanced the investigation still further.
My guess is there was a hesitancy to investigate US based trolling w/o the theory of prosecution from the civil rights statute.
Thanks for the info.
I know that as far as right wing violence there are a lot of complaints from outside monitors that DOJ has been really slow at going after ties to GOP flunkies and possible foreign connections.
I haven’t seen as much about DOJ moving slowly on IRA style activities, but I also don’t think there are as many outside eyes on trolling as there are on the actively violent side of the right, or possibly there is less press coverage. So it’s hard to know how agressive DOJ has been.
Would be great if resourceful investigative journalism tied Jane Mayer’s Dark Money info to GOP/NRA/unknown links. Hope I am not spewing conspiratorial claptrap.
It’s definitely not a conspiracy theory. Some investigation is ongoing but I’m hoping to see a lot more. https://www.exposedbycmd.org/2021/01/27/alecs-numerous-ties-to-the-capitol-insurrection-and-big-lie/
Wow Sandy Lynn that’s quite the blame list, and I am not one bit surprized they are all kochheads. IMHO alec is the most dangerous organization in the country.
Yeah, it’s messy unless it crosses over into that kind of hyper-specific targetting of voters.
Still, anything that involves the Ricky Vaughn persona and @TEN_GOP is going to start looking more closely at Posobiec’s emergence and activities in 2016, and I’m here for this with a jar of popcorn and a popper.
“… which has a number of right wingers…whining about their own First Amendment rights”
The Bill of Rights is in it’s place, but there are no absolute rights under the Constitution except those which are self evident, the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.
Check which doc you’re quoting. That one is a polemic, not part of government.
1) I’m less troubled by the crime of telling people to vote by text than I am of why it took 4 years to begin the prosecution. Call me Captain Obvious, but it’s almost like someone at the Justice Department–Barr?–was obstructing justice.
2) When you said,”the Elliot Broidy case, whose pardon will close out that case.” I hope you meant, “Elliot Broidy’s fat, un-privileged ass will be sitting in a witness chair soon.”
Broidy has many tales to tell. I doubt at this point that we’ll get to see him tell them, as I’d hoped; there are bigger fish with more germane secrets ahead of him.
After reading it twice, I sort of think I ‘get’ this emptywheel post…both on the micro and macro levels. I really appreciate the effort made…here and elsewhere.
Then, in an effort to learn a bit more before posting here, I googled a bit and came across the following:
Douglass Mackey – aka Ricky Vaughn – harassed the hell out of my kids in 2016.
I welcome the O.F.F. this moment presents.
8:55 AM · Jan 28, 2021·Twitter for iPad
(…channeling the late great NFL coach Vince Lombardi): What the hell is going on around here?
This fellow Mackey was harassing the kids of Never Trumpers?
…kind of personalizes Douglass Mackey and his awfulness a bit, doesn’t it?
At times I can’t process all of this. It is just too much.
Like the GA congresswoman Greene who harassed, on the street, the Parkland student now at Harvard…what is happening all too often is indicative of gaps in our legal system (topics I’ve learned about here on emptywheel).
For some reason I can’t stop thinking about the fact that Al Franken was forced to resign from the US Senate because of the existence of a photograph of him participating in a lewd pantomime during his days as an actor/comedian.
My God what is happening to my country…
The Franken thing is simply a reflection of the fact that decent people have higher standards than scum. But that doesn’t mean the scum shouldn’t be prosecuted for their crimes. They’ll be complaining either way so why not screw them to the wall with their own behavior instead of some misguided effort at “unity” (barf)?
…..sorry, I’ve got a “yeah, but” for the Al Franken loss
Those who were paying attention to this toxic bit of the social media landscape saw that “Ricky Vaughn” was filth, had a large network of supporters, and was inciting pile-on attacks on lots of people.
That the NYT subhed called him a “provocateur” is journalistic malpractice.
I saw an edited version that changed it to “troll” but that still falls short.
Vehement protests from people of color at the Times finally got them to knock of that cutesy trivializing with terms around race, but overall it still infects their writing to a gross degree.
A couple of minor notes about Twitter user ids. You can use tweeterid[dot]com to convert between user ids and handles for active accounts. Don’t bother for the ones in the indictment, they’ve all been shut down.
Also, generally, the bigger the number, the more recently the account was created. User ids are not strictly monotonically increasing for various reasons. However, that fourth one is a pretty low number. @jack is 12 and @sxsw is 784304. One more digit than South By Southwest likely means the account had been around since 2007 or early 2008.
Huh, never knew about that.
That will be useful to be sure it’s really @popehat. ;-D
Any chance that NSA’s voracious domestic scooping (although supposedly chastened after Snowden) has much of the data needed to reconstruct/define all of these connections? Then investigators can NOW use it for internal use (albeit not in Court).
I’m recalling recent admissions that there was almost no DOJ/FBI resources deployed for domestic right-wing terrorism under Trump.
Clarification idea for the lede:
” a prosecution of pro-Trump voter suppression from 2016.”
When I first read this, it sounded like it meant suppression of pro-Trump voters. It is not clear whether it is (pro-Trump voter) adjective (suppression) noun or (pro-Trump) (adjective) (voter suppression) noun. So maybe editing that to make it clearer?
Yeah, I had that reaction too for a little bit… until I remembered who this guy actually was.
On the timing of this:
The trumpists (and everyone else) deserve an official explanation for the apparent delay.
I do like the idea of showing respect for adults by telling them the truth. And the facts are something worth unifying around – unifying around falsehood and ignorance not so much.
If Barr or some other Trump-enabler acted to delay this prosecution then the trumpists/Murdoch-brainwashed will find something else to be deluded about. Murdoch in my neck of the woods is heavily pushing a “Biden is senile and a joke” fantasy.
Agreed. What’s the excuse for leaving this hanging until after the next Presidential election four years later? Seems like attempted obstruction.
Also why are any Barr/Trump prosecutors still employed by doj?
Thanks for dogging this one. Anyone else see a pattern here? Did some sort of investigation just end that was on hold or pending? It’s incredibly odd that this would take almost five years to figure out and charge… like why wasn’t this prosecuted prior to the last Presidential Election?